Anastasia Potapova vs Emma Raducanu
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Raducanu
Anastasia …: 43,1% Emma …: 56,9%
¿Por qué Emma Raducanu?
UTR 12,10 vs 12,59 (-0,49) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anastasia … Emma … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,20 1,36 31,3%
Gamdom 3,25 1,39 30,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,32 1,76 43,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Anastasia …: +13,3% Emma …: -13,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #78
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/29 = 58,6%
Emma Raducanu
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -25,0000
rank_ratio 0,5370
log_rank_ratio -0,6217
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -460,0000
best_rank_diff -11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,9540
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,6652
surface_matches_ratio 0,9667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,6207
surface_wr_p2 56,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,5758
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8824
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1724
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,4025
first_serve_won_diff 0,3276
second_serve_won_diff 3,7828
bp_saved_diff -4,8966
bp_converted_diff -12,5310
aces_per_match_diff -1,3506
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,0260
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6639
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7172
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 8,6864
serve_consistency_p2 8,3585
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,2148
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1112
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0417
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4900
utr_p1 0,4824
utr_p2 0,5400
utr_advantage -3,9692
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23655
API ID 15345523
Gamdom ID 589756
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23655,
    "api_id": 15345523,
    "gamdom_id": 589756,
    "player1": "Anastasia Potapova",
    "player2": "Emma Raducanu",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T03:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.2,
      "p2": 1.3599999999999999
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.25,
      "p2": 1.39
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.1,
      "p2": 1.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4308,
    "prob_p2": 0.5692,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5692,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 12.1,
      "utr_ranking": 78,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 12.59,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.1,
      "ranking": 78,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.59,
      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.48235294117647054,
    "utr_p2": 0.54,
    "utr_diff": -0.4900000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5370370370370371,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -460,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.896551724137922,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.620689655172406,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": -3.969218307006887,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6216882165778003,
    "rank_advantage": -25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.9540229885057414,
    "bp_converted_diff": -12.53103448275862,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.4025287356321883,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6638655462184874,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7171717171717171,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3505747126436782,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.32758620689654094,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.686434281804582,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.358496199537548,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.214793066876158,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.57575757575758,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.7827586206896555,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.0260000000000105,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11120689655172411,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04166666666666663,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.6651812240047552,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}