Anastasia Potapova vs Emma Raducanu
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 07:20
21 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Raducanu
Anastasia …: 43,1%
Emma …: 56,9%
¿Por qué Emma Raducanu?
UTR 12,10 vs 12,59
(-0,49)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anastasia … | Emma … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,20 | 1,36 | 31,3% |
| Gamdom | 3,25 | 1,39 | 30,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,32 | 1,76 | 43,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anastasia …: +13,3%
Emma …: -13,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/29 = 58,6%
Emma Raducanu
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5370 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6217 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -460,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,9540 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,6652 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,8824 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,4025 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,3276 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,7828 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,8966 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,5310 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3506 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,0260 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6639 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7172 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6864 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,3585 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,2148 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1112 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0417 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5400 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,9692 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23655
API ID
15345523
Gamdom ID
589756
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23655,
"api_id": 15345523,
"gamdom_id": 589756,
"player1": "Anastasia Potapova",
"player2": "Emma Raducanu",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T03:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.2,
"p2": 1.3599999999999999
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.25,
"p2": 1.39
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.1,
"p2": 1.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4308,
"prob_p2": 0.5692,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5692,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 12.59,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 78,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.59,
"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.54,
"utr_diff": -0.4900000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.5370370370370371,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -460,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.896551724137922,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.620689655172406,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": -3.969218307006887,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6216882165778003,
"rank_advantage": -25,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.9540229885057414,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.53103448275862,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.4025287356321883,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6638655462184874,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7171717171717171,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3505747126436782,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.32758620689654094,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.686434281804582,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.358496199537548,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.214793066876158,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.7827586206896555,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.0260000000000105,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11120689655172411,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04166666666666663,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.6651812240047552,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}