Yulia Putintseva vs Elsa Jacquemot
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Yulia …: 37,6% Elsa …: 62,4%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,94 (+0,06) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yulia … Elsa … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,40 3,15 71,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,66 1,60 37,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Yulia …: -28,0% Elsa …: +28,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking #94
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking #60
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -47,0000
rank_ratio 0,5524
log_rank_ratio -0,5935
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -329,0000
best_rank_diff 35,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -17,4107
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,7685
surface_matches_ratio 1,1429
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,8750
surface_wr_p2 64,2857
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,5000
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0625
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,9619
first_serve_won_diff -4,7621
second_serve_won_diff -3,5433
bp_saved_diff -9,8295
bp_converted_diff -1,5701
aces_per_match_diff -3,2589
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,4550
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5574
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8824
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,8866
serve_consistency_p2 7,1259
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,3336
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0158
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0959
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0600
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4635
utr_advantage 0,5013
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23657
API ID 15345525
Gamdom ID 589763
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23657,
    "api_id": 15345525,
    "gamdom_id": 589763,
    "player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
    "player2": "Elsa Jacquemot",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.15
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.39,
      "p2": 3.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3762,
    "prob_p2": 0.6238,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6238,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 94,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 60,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4635294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.0600000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5523809523809524,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -329,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.829464285714288,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.28571428571429,
    "utr_advantage": 0.5012531328320844,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 35,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.593517339611104,
    "rank_advantage": -47,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -17.410714285714292,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.5700892857142748,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.961874999999992,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.258928571428571,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.7620535714285595,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.88660859423919,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.125927637038541,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.33356082358619,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.5433035714285737,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1428571428571428,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.455,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.015750000000000042,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09585714285714286,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.768518518518519,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}