Yulia Putintseva vs Elsa Jacquemot
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 05:10
21 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Yulia …: 37,6%
Elsa …: 62,4%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,94
(+0,06)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yulia … | Elsa … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,40 | 3,15 | 71,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,66 | 1,60 | 37,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yulia …: -28,0%
Elsa …: +28,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking
#94
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/32 = 46,9%
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking
#60
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -47,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5524 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5935 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -329,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 35,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17,4107 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,7685 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,8750 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0625 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,9619 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,7621 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,5433 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,8295 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,5701 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,2589 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,4550 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5574 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8824 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8866 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1259 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10,3336 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0158 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0959 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,5013 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23657
API ID
15345525
Gamdom ID
589763
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23657,
"api_id": 15345525,
"gamdom_id": 589763,
"player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
"player2": "Elsa Jacquemot",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T01:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 3.15
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.39,
"p2": 3.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3762,
"prob_p2": 0.6238,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6238,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 94,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 60,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.94,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4635294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.0600000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 0.5523809523809524,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -329,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.829464285714288,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.28571428571429,
"utr_advantage": 0.5012531328320844,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 35,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.593517339611104,
"rank_advantage": -47,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": -17.410714285714292,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.5700892857142748,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.961874999999992,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.258928571428571,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.7620535714285595,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.88660859423919,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.125927637038541,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.33356082358619,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.5433035714285737,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1428571428571428,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.455,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.015750000000000042,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09585714285714286,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.768518518518519,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}