Ashton McLeod vs William Freshwater
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay |
21 Ene 2026, 21:00
21 Ene 2026, 21:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ashton McLeod
Ashton …: 79,0%
William …: 21,0%
¿Por qué Ashton McLeod?
UTR 12,58 vs 11,00
(+1,58)
— Ligera ventaja
Ashton …
W38-L18
68% WR
vs UTR 11,3
L2
William …
W79-L40
66% WR
vs UTR 10,8
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ashton … | William … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,27 | 4,77 | 79,0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ashton McLeod
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1489
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
William Freshwater
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#5175
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ashton McLeod
Record 2025
38W - 18L (68%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
11,3
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
W
W
William Freshwater
Record 2025
79W - 40L (66%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Ashton McLeod ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 11,3 vs 10,8).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,1067 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 62,4200 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 60,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 60,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 42,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 60,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 7,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 13,4012 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23658
API ID
15381373
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23658,
"api_id": 15381373,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ashton McLeod",
"player2": "William Freshwater",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-21T17:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7902,
"prob_p2": 0.2098,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7902,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.58,
"utr_ranking": 1489,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 38,
"utr_v4_losses": 18,
"utr_v4_wr": 67.85714285714286,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.31,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Eric Tripathi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Asher Brownrigg"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Oliver Wilcox"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Jera Staley"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Marcus Nield"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:32.622306+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 5175,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 79,
"utr_v4_losses": 40,
"utr_v4_wr": 66.38655462184873,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.75,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Eoghan Jennings"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Alexander Sasha Nikolov"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Jose Manuel Sastron Redondo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Lorenzo LORENZO ACOSTA-SJOGREN"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Evan Sharygin"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:01.053886+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.58,
"ranking": 1489,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 5175,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5388235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 1.58,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 42.9,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 13.401187446988974,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 60.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 62.42,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 7.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 60.3,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 60.9,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}