Ashton McLeod vs Tommaso Compagnucci
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay |
21 Ene 2026, 21:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tommaso Compagnucci
Ashton …: 36,7% Tommaso …: 63,3%
¿Por qué Tommaso Compagnucci?
UTR 12,58 vs 13,75 (-1,17) — Ligera ventaja
Ashton …
W38-L18
68% WR
vs UTR 11,3
L2
Tommaso …
W38-L24
61% WR
vs UTR 13,5
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ashton … Tommaso … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2,72 1,58 36,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ashton McLeod
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,58 Pro
UTR Ranking #1489
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Tommaso Compagnucci
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #527
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Clay 5/10 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ashton McLeod
Record 2025 38W - 18L (68%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 11,3
Últimos 5:
L L W W W
Tommaso Compagnucci
Record 2025 38W - 24L (61%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,5
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Análisis Momentum
Tommaso Compagnucci ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,5 vs 11,3).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 62,4200
first_serve_won_diff 60,3000
second_serve_won_diff 60,9000
bp_saved_diff 42,9000
bp_converted_diff 60,0000
aces_per_match_diff 7,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 57,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 9,4569
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,1700
utr_p1 0,5388
utr_p2 0,6765
utr_advantage -8,8872
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23659
API ID 15381375
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie Clay
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23659,
    "api_id": 15381375,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ashton McLeod",
    "player2": "Tommaso Compagnucci",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-21T17:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3674,
    "prob_p2": 0.6326,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6326,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.58,
      "utr_ranking": 1489,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 38,
      "utr_v4_losses": 18,
      "utr_v4_wr": 67.85714285714286,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.31,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eric Tripathi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Asher Brownrigg"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oliver Wilcox"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jera Staley"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Marcus Nield"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:32.622306+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.75,
      "utr_ranking": 527,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 38,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.29032258064516,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.46,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.12,
          "opponent_name": "Lilian Marmousez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.57,
          "opponent_name": "Tiago Torres"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.44,
          "opponent_name": "Robin Catry"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.69,
          "opponent_name": "Alec Deckers"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.81,
          "opponent_name": "Georgii Kravchenko"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:52.116052+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.58,
      "ranking": 1489,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.75,
      "ranking": 527,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.6764705882352942,
    "utr_diff": -1.17,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 42.9,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -8.887200911507785,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 60.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 62.42,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 7.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 60.3,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.456933101923253,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 60.9,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 57,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}