Pablo Paternostro vs Patricio Alvarado
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay |
22 Ene 2026, 21:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Patricio Alvarado
Pablo …: 27,9% Patricio …: 72,1%
¿Por qué Patricio Alvarado?
UTR 11,00 vs 12,77 — Niveles similares
Pablo …
Sin datos
Patricio …
W58-L36
62% WR
vs UTR 12,2
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pablo … Patricio … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,30 1,48 43,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,58 1,39 27,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pablo Paternostro
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #3925
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Patricio Alvarado
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #1319
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Clay 0/2 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Pablo Paternostro
Sin datos UTR v4
Patricio Alvarado
Record 2025 58W - 36L (62%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
L W L L L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,2667
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -48,8000
first_serve_won_diff -55,9000
second_serve_won_diff -59,5000
bp_saved_diff -46,7000
bp_converted_diff -41,7000
aces_per_match_diff -1,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5612
utr_p2 0,5612
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23669
API ID 15381382
Gamdom ID 606539
Torneo UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie Clay
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23669,
    "api_id": 15381382,
    "gamdom_id": 606539,
    "player1": "Pablo Paternostro",
    "player2": "Patricio Alvarado",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-22T17:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.42,
      "p2": 1.5
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2792,
    "prob_p2": 0.7208,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7208,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3925,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.77,
      "utr_ranking": 1319,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 58,
      "utr_v4_losses": 36,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.702127659574465,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.16,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.99,
          "opponent_name": "Matt Kuhar"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Cristian Gonzalez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.22,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Martinez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.24,
          "opponent_name": "Fernando Cavallo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.33,
          "opponent_name": "Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz de Rozas"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:08.780808+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 3925,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.77,
      "ranking": 1319,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.5611764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -46.7,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -41.7,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -48.8,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -55.9,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -59.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.2666666666666675,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}