Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin vs Jonathan Baron
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay |
22 Ene 2026, 00:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Joao …: 57,2% Jonathan …: 42,8%
¿Por qué Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin?
UTR 12,97 vs 12,00 — Niveles similares
Joao …
W42-L25
63% WR
vs UTR 12,4
L3
Jonathan …
Sin datos
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Joao … Jonathan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 5,50 88,9%
Gamdom 1,19 3,75 84,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,75 2,34 57,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Joao …: -25,8% Jonathan …: +25,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #1127
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 75% (8p)
WR Clay 0/1 = 0,0%
Jonathan Baron
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3408
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Record 2025 42W - 25L (63%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 12,4
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
Jonathan Baron
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 0,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 20,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 16,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 2,6049
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5847
utr_p2 0,5847
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23675
API ID 15381384
Gamdom ID 606537
Torneo UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie Clay
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23675,
    "api_id": 15381384,
    "gamdom_id": 606537,
    "player1": "Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin",
    "player2": "Jonathan Baron",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-21T20:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.125,
      "p2": 5.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5722,
    "prob_p2": 0.4278,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5722,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.97,
      "utr_ranking": 1127,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 42,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.68656716417911,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.43,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.32,
          "opponent_name": "Mathis Bondaz"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.73,
          "opponent_name": "Donald Nikolas Stoot"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.83,
          "opponent_name": "Alex Martinez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.8,
          "opponent_name": "Ian Bracks"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.56,
          "opponent_name": "Krish Arora"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.122968+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3408,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.97,
      "ranking": 1127,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3408,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
    "utr_p2": 0.5847058823529413,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.30000000000000004,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.604913648819757,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 20.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}