Alan Magadan vs Reece Falck
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay |
21 Ene 2026, 23:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alan Magadan
Alan …: 76,9% Reece …: 23,1%
¿Por qué Alan Magadan?
Alan …
W53-L29
65% WR
vs UTR 12,7
L1
Reece …
W3-L0
100% WR
vs UTR 10,0
W3
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alan … Reece … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,40 76,9%
Gamdom 1,29 2,95 77,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,30 4,32 76,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Alan …: +4,5% Reece …: -4,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alan Magadan
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,29 General
UTR Ranking #1051
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Reece Falck
Ranking #-
UTR Ranking #1140 General
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 43% (7p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alan Magadan
Record 2025 53W - 29L (65%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Reece Falck
Record 2025 3W - 0L (100%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 10,0
Últimos 5:
W W W
Análisis Momentum
Reece Falck en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,3333
surface_matches_ratio 4,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,9400
first_serve_won_diff 15,5000
second_serve_won_diff 2,3000
bp_saved_diff -25,4000
bp_converted_diff 25,9000
aces_per_match_diff -1,2500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 51,0204
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -6,9796
weighted_momentum_diff -2,6878
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 188,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -6,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,0539
serve_consistency_p2 9,0528
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,3754
utr_p1 0,6224
utr_p2 0,4605
utr_advantage 10,9135
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23682
API ID 15381376
Gamdom ID 606528
Torneo UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie Clay
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23682,
    "api_id": 15381376,
    "gamdom_id": 606528,
    "player1": "Alan Magadan",
    "player2": "Reece Falck",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-21T19:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 2.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.26
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7686,
    "prob_p2": 0.2314,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7686,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.29,
      "utr_ranking": 1051,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 53,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.63414634146342,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.65,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.31,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Bertran"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.01,
          "opponent_name": "Jesse Flores"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.45,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Jose Bianchi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Taha Baadi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.81,
          "opponent_name": "Nicaise Muamba"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.052045+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": 1140,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 3,
      "utr_v4_losses": 0,
      "utr_v4_wr": 100.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Henry Lugar"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alberto Orso"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Durham"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:18.159050+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.29,
      "ranking": 1051,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": 1140,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6223529411764704,
    "utr_p2": 0.46054620270532837,
    "utr_diff": 1.3753572770047082,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 51.02040816326531,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -25.4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": -6.979591836734684,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 10.913523291087241,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -6,
    "surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 25.9,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.939999999999998,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.25,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 15.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.053901948655493,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.052787539593664,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.299999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.6877551020408106,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 188,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.333333333333332,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}