Daniil Kakhniuk vs Reece Falck
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay |
20 Ene 2026, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daniil Kakhniuk
Daniil …: 58,0% Reece …: 42,0%
¿Por qué Daniil Kakhniuk?
Daniil …
W50-L39
56% WR
vs UTR 11,9
W1
Reece …
W3-L0
100% WR
vs UTR 10,0
W3
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daniil … Reece … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 1,94 1,68 51,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,72 2,38 58,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Daniil …: +8,0% Reece …: -8,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Kakhniuk
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #1526
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Reece Falck
Ranking #-
UTR Ranking #1140 General
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Daniil Kakhniuk
Record 2025 50W - 39L (56%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,9
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Reece Falck
Record 2025 3W - 0L (100%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 10,0
Últimos 5:
W W W
Análisis Momentum
Reece Falck en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -48,8000
first_serve_won_diff -56,8000
second_serve_won_diff -48,0000
bp_saved_diff -83,3000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff -3,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,0000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 16,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -6,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,4744
serve_consistency_p2 9,0528
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7754
utr_p1 0,5518
utr_p2 0,4605
utr_advantage 6,3025
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23686
API ID 15381386
Gamdom ID 606542
Torneo UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie Clay
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23686,
    "api_id": 15381386,
    "gamdom_id": 606542,
    "player1": "Daniil Kakhniuk",
    "player2": "Reece Falck",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-20T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.94,
      "p2": 1.68
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.94,
      "p2": 1.77
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5802,
    "prob_p2": 0.4198,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5802,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.69,
      "utr_ranking": 1526,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 50,
      "utr_v4_losses": 39,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.17977528089888,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.93,
          "opponent_name": "Matei Todoran"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.67,
          "opponent_name": "Luke Hooper"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Daniil Lunev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.02,
          "opponent_name": "Leon Formella"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.14,
          "opponent_name": "Yaroslav Demin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.374296+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": 1140,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 3,
      "utr_v4_losses": 0,
      "utr_v4_wr": 100.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Henry Lugar"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alberto Orso"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Durham"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:18.159050+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.69,
      "ranking": 1526,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": 1140,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5517647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.46054620270532837,
    "utr_diff": 0.7753572770047086,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -83.3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": 19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 6.302528232040258,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -6,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -48.8,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -56.8,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.474442043729165,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.052787539593664,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -48.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}