Avner Wong vs Maciej Rajski
UTR Newport Beach M03 | Hard |
23 Ene 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maciej Rajski
Avner …: 26,5% Maciej …: 73,5%
¿Por qué Maciej Rajski?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,36 (-1,36) — Ligera ventaja
Avner …
W61-L34
64% WR
vs UTR 11,0
W2
Maciej …
W81-L17
83% WR
vs UTR 12,2
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Avner … Maciej … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 7,50 1,07 13,3%
Gamdom 7,00 1,04 14,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,77 1,36 26,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Avner …: +14,0% Maciej …: -14,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Avner Wong
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3660
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Maciej Rajski
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #797
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Avner Wong
Record 2025 61W - 34L (64%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 11,0
Últimos 5:
W W L L W
Maciej Rajski
Record 2025 81W - 17L (83%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Maciej Rajski ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,2 vs 11,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -50,0000
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 7,0252
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,3600
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,6306
utr_advantage -10,7256
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23690
API ID 15382541
Gamdom ID 606916
Torneo UTR Newport Beach M03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23690,
    "api_id": 15382541,
    "gamdom_id": 606916,
    "player1": "Avner Wong",
    "player2": "Maciej Rajski",
    "tournament": "UTR Newport Beach M03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-23T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 7.5,
      "p2": 1.0714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.0,
      "p2": 1.04
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 8.2,
      "p2": 1.05
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2653,
    "prob_p2": 0.7347,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7347,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3660,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 61,
      "utr_v4_losses": 34,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.21052631578948,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.55,
          "opponent_name": "Lawrence Bataljin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Thanh Minh Truong"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.38,
          "opponent_name": "Stefan Storch"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.93,
          "opponent_name": "Jaesung Choe"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Qariaqus"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:33.914212+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.36,
      "utr_ranking": 797,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 81,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 82.6530612244898,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.19,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kosuke Nakanishi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Matteo Huarte"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.38,
          "opponent_name": "Carson Baker"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luca Ostovany"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Iiro Vasa"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:29.466451+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3660,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.36,
      "ranking": 797,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.6305882352941176,
    "utr_diff": -1.3599999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -49.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -10.725552050473182,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.025216852423005,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}