Daniil Medvedev vs Quentin Halys
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 05:50
21 Ene 2026, 05:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil …: 86,2%
Quentin …: 13,8%
¿Por qué Daniil Medvedev?
UTR 15,81 vs 14,75
(+1,06)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniil … | Quentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,50 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,12 | 7,40 | 89,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,16 | 7,25 | 86,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Daniil …: +7,3%
Quentin …: -7,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking
#12
UTR Rating
15,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
30/46 = 65,2%
Quentin Halys
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 71,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,9167 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,9339 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2185,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 45,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25,8235 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23,4595 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3939 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,2174 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39,3939 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,5405 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3043 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,1397 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,9260 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,3798 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,2715 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,7472 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,3083 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,9300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8483 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9620 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5238 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,7845 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9994 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 49,9409 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0812 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0351 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 51,6469 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7941 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,9372 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23767
API ID
15345253
Gamdom ID
589733
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23767,
"api_id": 15345253,
"gamdom_id": 589733,
"player1": "Daniil Medvedev",
"player2": "Quentin Halys",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T01:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.12,
"p2": 7.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.11,
"p2": 6.61
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8621,
"prob_p2": 0.1379,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8621,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 12,
"utr_singles": 15.81,
"utr_ranking": 8,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.81,
"ranking": 8,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 120,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9188235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.7941176470588235,
"utr_diff": 1.0600000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 6.916666666666667,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 2185,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.2715415019762872,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": 29.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.21739130434783,
"surface_wr_p2": 39.39393939393939,
"utr_advantage": 6.937172774869113,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 45,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.9339339580085977,
"rank_advantage": 71,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5238095238095238,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.823451910408437,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.7471673254281868,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.139670619235844,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.848314606741573,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.308300395256918,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.9259552042160806,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.30434782608695654,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.784514355772046,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.999415344667177,
"surface_rank_synergy": 49.940850562540874,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.379841897233206,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.393939393939394,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.929999999999978,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 51.646903820816874,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08117391304347832,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.035060606060606125,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.45945945945946,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}