Coco Gauff vs Olga Danilović
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 07:55
21 Ene 2026, 07:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 88,0%
Olga …: 12,0%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,27
(+0,50)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Coco … | Olga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 6,00 | 88,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,10 | 8,40 | 90,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,14 | 8,36 | 88,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Coco …: +3,9%
Olga …: -3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
25/36 = 69,4%
Olga Danilović
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
12,27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 66,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 23,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,1355 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 5442,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 30,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25,6944 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,2500 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3889 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,7701 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,5125 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,3333 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,9667 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5069 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 24,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 17,1160 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6609 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8450 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0054 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7521 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 80,5648 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1284 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0035 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 77,0833 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5024 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,9936 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23769
API ID
15345520
Gamdom ID
589784
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23769,
"api_id": 15345520,
"gamdom_id": 589784,
"player1": "Coco Gauff",
"player2": "Olga Danilovi\u0107",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T03:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 6.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.1,
"p2": 8.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.09,
"p2": 7.29
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8804,
"prob_p2": 0.1196,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8804,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 12.77,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 69,
"utr_singles": 12.27,
"utr_ranking": 48,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 48,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5023529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.5,
"rank_ratio": 23.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 5442,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.70000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 24.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
"utr_advantage": 3.993610223642172,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 30,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.1354942159291497,
"rank_advantage": 66,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.694444444444443,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.966666666666669,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.77013888888888,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8449612403100775,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5069444444444446,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.512499999999989,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.0053704907761345,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.75212420877382,
"surface_rank_synergy": 80.56478193706842,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.3333333333333286,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 17.115999999999985,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 77.08333333333333,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12844444444444436,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0035000000000000586,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.25,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}