Coco Gauff vs Olga Danilović
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 07:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 88,0% Olga …: 12,0%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,27 (+0,50) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coco … Olga … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 6,00 88,5%
Gamdom 1,10 8,40 90,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,14 8,36 88,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Coco …: +3,9% Olga …: -3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/36 = 69,4%
Olga Danilović
Ranking #69
UTR Rating 12,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #48
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 66,0000
rank_ratio 23,0000
log_rank_ratio 3,1355
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 5442,0000
best_rank_diff 30,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 25,6944
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 17,2500
surface_matches_ratio 2,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,4444
surface_wr_p2 43,7500
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,0000
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3889
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,7701
first_serve_won_diff 5,5125
second_serve_won_diff 3,3333
bp_saved_diff -5,7000
bp_converted_diff 11,9667
aces_per_match_diff 0,5069
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 24,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,1160
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8450
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 6,0054
serve_consistency_p2 7,7521
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 80,5648
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1284
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0035
elite_surface_amplifier 77,0833
UTR
utr_diff 0,5000
utr_p1 0,5612
utr_p2 0,5024
utr_advantage 3,9936
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23769
API ID 15345520
Gamdom ID 589784
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23769,
    "api_id": 15345520,
    "gamdom_id": 589784,
    "player1": "Coco Gauff",
    "player2": "Olga Danilovi\u0107",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T03:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 8.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.09,
      "p2": 7.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8804,
    "prob_p2": 0.1196,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8804,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 12.77,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 69,
      "utr_singles": 12.27,
      "utr_ranking": 48,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.77,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.27,
      "ranking": 48,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.5,
    "rank_ratio": 23.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 5442,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.70000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 24.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
    "utr_advantage": 3.993610223642172,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 30,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 3.1354942159291497,
    "rank_advantage": 66,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 25.694444444444443,
    "bp_converted_diff": 11.966666666666669,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.77013888888888,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8449612403100775,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5069444444444446,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.512499999999989,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.0053704907761345,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.75212420877382,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 80.56478193706842,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.3333333333333286,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.115999999999985,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 77.08333333333333,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12844444444444436,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0035000000000000586,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.25,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}