Peyton Stearns vs Petra Marčinko
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 07:00
22 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Petra Marčinko
Peyton …: 43,9%
Petra …: 56,1%
¿Por qué Petra Marčinko?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Peyton … | Petra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,72 | 2,14 | 58,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,28 | 1,78 | 43,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Peyton …: -6,1%
Petra …: +6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Peyton Stearns
Ranking
#68
UTR Rating
12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
10/25 = 40,0%
Petra Marčinko
Ranking
#81
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/10 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 13,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1912 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1749 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 133,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 49,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,9836 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,3793 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,1429 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,1404 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,4240 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2920 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,5920 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,6960 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,5200 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,1240 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8148 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,1345 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,1471 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,4988 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1130 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1130 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4788 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23772
API ID
15345466
Gamdom ID
589795
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23772,
"api_id": 15345466,
"gamdom_id": 589795,
"player1": "Peyton Stearns",
"player2": "Petra Mar\u010dinko",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.14
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4386,
"prob_p2": 0.5614,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5614,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": 12.07,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 81,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.47882352941176476,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.1911764705882353,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 133,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5920000000000059,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 49,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.17494144949633206,
"rank_advantage": 13,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -20.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.695999999999998,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.14039999999999964,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8148148148148148,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.5199999999999998,
"combined_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.4239999999999995,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.134533956615783,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.147147605562694,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.498828989926641,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.37931034482759,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.2920000000000016,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.1240000000000094,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11299999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11299999999999999,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.98357963875205,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}