Storm Hunter vs Hailey Baptiste
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hailey Baptiste
Storm …: 18,0% Hailey …: 82,0%
¿Por qué Hailey Baptiste?
UTR 11,54 vs 12,03 (-0,49) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Storm … Hailey … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,57 42,0%
Gamdom 2,38 1,64 42,0%
IA Fair Odds 5,56 1,22 18,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Storm …: -21,8% Hailey …: +21,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Storm Hunter
Ranking #367
UTR Rating 11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #266
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking #70
UTR Rating 12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #84
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/26 = 46,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -297,0000
rank_ratio 0,1907
log_rank_ratio -1,6569
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -810,0000
best_rank_diff -67,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,1538
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,2167
surface_matches_ratio 0,1538
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 25,0000
surface_wr_p2 46,1538
surface_wr_p1_stable 25,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,6667
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,6100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -17,2338
first_serve_won_diff -13,5000
second_serve_won_diff -7,2538
bp_saved_diff -16,6154
bp_converted_diff -3,6308
aces_per_match_diff -4,1538
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,8000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 40,2550
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6339
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 11,2406
serve_consistency_p2 7,3142
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 35,0491
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0470
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3355
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4900
utr_p1 0,4165
utr_p2 0,4741
utr_advantage -4,1578
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23773
API ID 15345528
Gamdom ID 589773
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23773,
    "api_id": 15345528,
    "gamdom_id": 589773,
    "player1": "Storm Hunter",
    "player2": "Hailey Baptiste",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.64
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.27,
      "p2": 1.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1797,
    "prob_p2": 0.8203,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8203,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 367,
      "utr_singles": 11.54,
      "utr_ranking": 266,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 70,
      "utr_singles": 12.03,
      "utr_ranking": 84,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 266,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 84,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4741176470588235,
    "utr_diff": -0.4900000000000002,
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    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -810,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -16.615384615384613,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 59.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
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    "utr_advantage": -4.157827747136192,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6568666060052113,
    "rank_advantage": -297,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.153846153846153,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.630769230769225,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": -17.233846153846144,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6339285714285714,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.153846153846154,
    "combined_confidence": 0.61,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -13.499999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.240633455738601,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.314164107283096,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 35.04910128087947,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.0,
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    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.253846153846148,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.15384615384615385,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 40.254999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04700000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.33546153846153853,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.216666666666665,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}