Zeynep Sonmez vs Anna Bondar
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Bondar
Zeynep …: 42,9%
Anna …: 57,1%
¿Por qué Anna Bondar?
UTR 12,11 vs 12,04
(+0,07)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Zeynep … | Anna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,71 | 2,25 | 58,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,33 | 1,75 | 42,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Zeynep …: -9,8%
Anna …: +9,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Anna Bondar
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#96
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6607 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4144 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -219,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,8182 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,5898 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,6486 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,0588 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,3993 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,4970 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,9418 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,7715 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,5224 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,9667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14,0960 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6019 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6579 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0996 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,2522 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7535 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0228 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0713 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,5797 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23774
API ID
15345518
Gamdom ID
589782
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23774,
"api_id": 15345518,
"gamdom_id": 589782,
"player1": "Zeynep Sonmez",
"player2": "Anna Bondar",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.71,
"p2": 2.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.19
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4287,
"prob_p2": 0.5713,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5713,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 112,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 96,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 96,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
"rank_ratio": 0.6607142857142857,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": -219,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.7715151515151533,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 29.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 0.5797101449275386,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4144337780909248,
"rank_advantage": -38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.8181818181818201,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.5224242424242433,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.399272727272724,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6018518518518519,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6578947368421053,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.9666666666666672,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.496969696969693,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.0995948009302445,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.252201280329853,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7535159601653186,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.941818181818178,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.09599999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.022848484848484896,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07133333333333342,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.5898251192368917,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}