Zeynep Sonmez vs Anna Bondar
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Bondar
Zeynep …: 42,9% Anna …: 57,1%
¿Por qué Anna Bondar?
UTR 12,11 vs 12,04 (+0,07) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zeynep … Anna … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,71 2,25 58,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,33 1,75 42,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Zeynep …: -9,8% Anna …: +9,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking #112
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Anna Bondar
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -38,0000
rank_ratio 0,6607
log_rank_ratio -0,4144
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -219,0000
best_rank_diff -19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,8182
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,5898
surface_matches_ratio 1,1000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,4848
surface_wr_p2 46,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,6486
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,0588
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0303
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,3993
first_serve_won_diff -6,4970
second_serve_won_diff 5,9418
bp_saved_diff 1,7715
bp_converted_diff 0,5224
aces_per_match_diff -3,9667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,0960
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6019
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6579
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5385
serve_consistency_p1 6,0996
serve_consistency_p2 9,2522
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,7535
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0228
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0713
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0700
utr_p1 0,4835
utr_p2 0,4753
utr_advantage 0,5797
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23774
API ID 15345518
Gamdom ID 589782
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23774,
    "api_id": 15345518,
    "gamdom_id": 589782,
    "player1": "Zeynep Sonmez",
    "player2": "Anna Bondar",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.71,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4287,
    "prob_p2": 0.5713,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5713,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 112,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6607142857142857,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -219,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.7715151515151533,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 29.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
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    "utr_advantage": 0.5797101449275386,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "rank_advantage": -38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.8181818181818201,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.5224242424242433,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.399272727272724,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6018518518518519,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6578947368421053,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.9666666666666672,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.496969696969693,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.0995948009302445,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.252201280329853,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7535159601653186,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.941818181818178,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.09599999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.022848484848484896,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07133333333333342,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.5898251192368917,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}