Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaur
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alex de Minaur
Hamad …: 14,4% Alex …: 85,6%
¿Por qué Alex de Minaur?
UTR 15,24 vs 15,89 (-0,65) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hamad … Alex … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,20 22,2%
Gamdom 6,20 1,15 16,1%
IA Fair Odds 6,96 1,17 14,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Hamad …: -6,7% Alex …: +6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking #90
UTR Rating 15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #58
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/30 = 60,0%
Alex de Minaur
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 39/55 = 70,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -84,0000
rank_ratio 0,0667
log_rank_ratio -2,7081
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -3399,0000
best_rank_diff -51,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,9091
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,6680
surface_matches_ratio 0,5455
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 70,9091
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,8235
surface_wr_p2_stable 69,4915
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 55,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,2961
first_serve_won_diff 0,6291
second_serve_won_diff -4,2836
bp_saved_diff 0,0964
bp_converted_diff 4,0164
aces_per_match_diff 3,6333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,7000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2381
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8100
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5294
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5882
serve_consistency_p1 8,5130
serve_consistency_p2 9,5247
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 29,5424
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1840
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1251
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6500
utr_p1 0,8518
utr_p2 0,9282
utr_advantage -4,1760
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23775
API ID 15345286
Gamdom ID 589689
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23775,
    "api_id": 15345286,
    "gamdom_id": 589689,
    "player1": "Hamad Medjedovic",
    "player2": "Alex de Minaur",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T08:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 6.2,
      "p2": 1.15
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.47,
      "p2": 1.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1436,
    "prob_p2": 0.8564,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8564,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 90,
      "utr_singles": 15.24,
      "utr_ranking": 58,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 15.89,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.9090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 55,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.24,
      "ranking": 58,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.89,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.9282352941176472,
    "utr_diff": -0.6500000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 0.06666666666666667,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -3399,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.0963636363636482,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 70.9090909090909,
    "utr_advantage": -4.176035978156121,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -51,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.70805020110221,
    "rank_advantage": -84,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.909090909090907,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.016363636363636,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 55,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.296121212121221,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2380952380952381,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.81,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.6333333333333337,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.6290909090909054,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.512977264941007,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.524730951150213,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 29.54236583020592,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.49152542372882,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.283636363636354,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5454545454545454,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.699999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18399999999999994,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12509090909090914,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.667996011964107,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}