Jaime Faria vs Andrey Rublev
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrey Rublev
Jaime …: 13,0% Andrey …: 87,1%
¿Por qué Andrey Rublev?
UTR 14,32 vs 15,53 (-1,21) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jaime … Andrey … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 5,50 1,14 18,2%
Gamdom 7,80 1,11 12,8%
IA Fair Odds 7,72 1,15 13,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Jaime …: -4,2% Andrey …: +4,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaime Faria
Ranking #151
UTR Rating 14,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #229
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 8/16 = 50,0%
Andrey Rublev
Ranking #15
UTR Rating 15,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #27
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 22/39 = 56,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -136,0000
rank_ratio 0,0993
log_rank_ratio -2,3092
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -2187,0000
best_rank_diff -82,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,4103
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,4574
surface_matches_ratio 0,4103
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 56,4103
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8140
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,6616
first_serve_won_diff -3,5663
second_serve_won_diff 0,0526
bp_saved_diff -4,3848
bp_converted_diff 2,4220
aces_per_match_diff -0,4471
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,2000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8931
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1879
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4706
serve_consistency_p1 6,9229
serve_consistency_p2 7,2503
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 14,8028
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1360
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0719
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2100
utr_p1 0,7435
utr_p2 0,8859
utr_advantage -8,1072
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23776
API ID 15345292
Gamdom ID 589696
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23776,
    "api_id": 15345292,
    "gamdom_id": 589696,
    "player1": "Jaime Faria",
    "player2": "Andrey Rublev",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 5.5,
      "p2": 1.1400000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.8,
      "p2": 1.11
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.61,
      "p2": 1.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1295,
    "prob_p2": 0.8705,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8705,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 151,
      "utr_singles": 14.32,
      "utr_ranking": 229,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 15,
      "utr_singles": 15.53,
      "utr_ranking": 27,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.41025641025641,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.32,
      "ranking": 229,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 27,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7435294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.8858823529411763,
    "utr_diff": -1.209999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.09933774834437085,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -2187,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.384775641025641,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 29.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.41025641025641,
    "utr_advantage": -8.107202680066996,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -82,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.3092296357127142,
    "rank_advantage": -136,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.410256410256409,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.421955128205134,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 39,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.6616346153846138,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8931297709923665,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1879194630872483,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.447115384615385,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.5663461538461405,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.922916776094131,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.250330529616939,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 14.802754075081499,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.81395348837209,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.05256410256410504,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.41025641025641024,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.199999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.136,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07189743589743591,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.45736434108527,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}