Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 08:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nuno Borges
Jordan …: 41,7% Nuno …: 58,3%
¿Por qué Nuno Borges?
UTR 15,04 vs 15,18 (-0,14) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jordan … Nuno … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,44 36,4%
Gamdom 2,60 1,55 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,40 1,72 41,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Jordan …: +7,4% Nuno …: -7,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jordan Thompson
Ranking #111
UTR Rating 15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #88
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 10/21 = 47,6%
Nuno Borges
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/35 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -65,0000
rank_ratio 0,4144
log_rank_ratio -0,8809
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -522,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,8095
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,7897
surface_matches_ratio 0,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,6190
surface_wr_p2 51,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,2821
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0476
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,1455
first_serve_won_diff 3,2552
second_serve_won_diff 0,4248
bp_saved_diff 1,9686
bp_converted_diff -4,2048
aces_per_match_diff 1,6952
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16,6660
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8077
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7193
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,7401
serve_consistency_p2 5,7455
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,3558
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0412
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0507
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1400
utr_p1 0,8282
utr_p2 0,8447
utr_advantage -0,9265
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23777
API ID 15345256
Gamdom ID 589732
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23777,
    "api_id": 15345256,
    "gamdom_id": 589732,
    "player1": "Jordan Thompson",
    "player2": "Nuno Borges",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T04:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.47,
      "p2": 1.53
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4172,
    "prob_p2": 0.5828,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5828,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 111,
      "utr_singles": 15.04,
      "utr_ranking": 88,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 64,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.04,
      "ranking": 88,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.18,
      "ranking": 64,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.828235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.8447058823529412,
    "utr_diff": -0.14000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4144144144144144,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -522,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.9685714285714369,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.42857142857142,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9265387160820686,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8808888048232392,
    "rank_advantage": -65,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.80952380952381,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.204761904761906,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.145523809523802,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8076923076923077,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7192982456140351,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.6952380952380954,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.2552380952380844,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.740084573122537,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.745517820200243,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.3557668755171024,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.28205128205128,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.4247619047619011,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.665999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.041190476190476055,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05071428571428571,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.7897435897435856,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}