Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 08:20
21 Ene 2026, 08:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nuno Borges
Jordan …: 41,7%
Nuno …: 58,3%
¿Por qué Nuno Borges?
UTR 15,04 vs 15,18
(-0,14)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jordan … | Nuno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,44 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,60 | 1,55 | 38,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,40 | 1,72 | 41,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jordan …: +7,4%
Nuno …: -7,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jordan Thompson
Ranking
#111
UTR Rating
15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#88
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
10/21 = 47,6%
Nuno Borges
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#64
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/35 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -65,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4144 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8809 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -522,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,8095 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,7897 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,2821 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0476 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,1455 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,2552 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,4248 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,9686 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,2048 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,6952 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16,6660 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8077 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7193 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7401 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,7455 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,3558 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0412 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0507 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8447 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9265 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23777
API ID
15345256
Gamdom ID
589732
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23777,
"api_id": 15345256,
"gamdom_id": 589732,
"player1": "Jordan Thompson",
"player2": "Nuno Borges",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T04:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.44
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.6,
"p2": 1.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.47,
"p2": 1.53
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4172,
"prob_p2": 0.5828,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5828,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 111,
"utr_singles": 15.04,
"utr_ranking": 88,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 64,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 88,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 64,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.14000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 0.4144144144144144,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -522,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.9685714285714369,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.61904761904761,
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"utr_advantage": -0.9265387160820686,
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"best_rank_diff": 4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8808888048232392,
"rank_advantage": -65,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.80952380952381,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.204761904761906,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.145523809523802,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8076923076923077,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7192982456140351,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.6952380952380954,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.2552380952380844,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.740084573122537,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.745517820200243,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.3557668755171024,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.28205128205128,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.4247619047619011,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -16.665999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.041190476190476055,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05071428571428571,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.7897435897435856,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}