Learner Tien vs Alexander Shevchenko
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 09:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 88,5% Alexander …: 11,5%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 14,73 (+0,84) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Learner … Alexander … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 5,00 85,5%
Gamdom 1,20 5,20 83,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,13 8,69 88,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Learner …: +7,5% Alexander …: -7,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 35/50 = 70,0%
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking #97
UTR Rating 14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #123
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 68,0000
rank_ratio 3,3448
log_rank_ratio 1,2074
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 890,0000
best_rank_diff 19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 35,2174
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 27,8086
surface_matches_ratio 2,1739
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,0000
surface_wr_p2 34,7826
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,5185
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,0370
p1_surface_matches 50,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,2555
first_serve_won_diff 0,0792
second_serve_won_diff 7,6887
bp_saved_diff 2,2369
bp_converted_diff 12,8524
aces_per_match_diff -1,3009
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,9700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3818
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 7,0542
serve_consistency_p2 11,3845
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 42,5220
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1320
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0842
elite_surface_amplifier 35,2174
UTR
utr_diff 0,8400
utr_p1 0,8906
utr_p2 0,7918
utr_advantage 5,5446
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23778
API ID 15345255
Gamdom ID 589741
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23778,
    "api_id": 15345255,
    "gamdom_id": 589741,
    "player1": "Learner Tien",
    "player2": "Alexander Shevchenko",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T05:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.17,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 5.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8849,
    "prob_p2": 0.1151,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8849,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 97,
      "utr_singles": 14.73,
      "utr_ranking": 123,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.73,
      "ranking": 123,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8905882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.791764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.8399999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 3.3448275862068964,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 890,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.2368695652173898,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 34.78260869565217,
    "utr_advantage": 5.544554455445543,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2074151485169087,
    "rank_advantage": 68,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 35.21739130434783,
    "bp_converted_diff": 12.852434782608697,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.25552173913042253,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.38181818181818183,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3008695652173916,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.07921739130435412,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.0542387010333245,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.384543043958576,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 42.52201175211722,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.51851851851852,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.03703703703704,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.688695652173919,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.1739130434782608,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.969999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 35.21739130434783,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1319999999999999,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08417391304347821,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 27.80864197530864,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}