Learner Tien vs Alexander Shevchenko
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 09:10
21 Ene 2026, 09:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 88,5%
Alexander …: 11,5%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 14,73
(+0,84)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Learner … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 5,00 | 85,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,20 | 5,20 | 83,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,13 | 8,69 | 88,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Learner …: +7,5%
Alexander …: -7,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
35/50 = 70,0%
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking
#97
UTR Rating
14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 68,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,3448 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2074 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 890,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 35,2174 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 27,8086 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1739 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 34,7826 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,5185 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,0370 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,2555 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0792 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,6887 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,2369 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12,8524 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3009 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,9700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0542 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,3845 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 42,5220 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1320 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0842 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 35,2174 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7918 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,5446 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23778
API ID
15345255
Gamdom ID
589741
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23778,
"api_id": 15345255,
"gamdom_id": 589741,
"player1": "Learner Tien",
"player2": "Alexander Shevchenko",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T05:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.17,
"p2": 5.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 5.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8849,
"prob_p2": 0.1151,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8849,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.57,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 97,
"utr_singles": 14.73,
"utr_ranking": 123,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 24,
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},
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"ranking": 123,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.8399999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 3.3448275862068964,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 890,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.2368695652173898,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 34.78260869565217,
"utr_advantage": 5.544554455445543,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2074151485169087,
"rank_advantage": 68,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": 35.21739130434783,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.852434782608697,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.25552173913042253,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.38181818181818183,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3008695652173916,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.07921739130435412,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.0542387010333245,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.384543043958576,
"surface_rank_synergy": 42.52201175211722,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.51851851851852,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.03703703703704,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.688695652173919,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.1739130434782608,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.969999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 35.21739130434783,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1319999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08417391304347821,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 27.80864197530864,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
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"feature_importance": {}
}