Iva Jovic vs Priscilla Hon
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 15:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 69,3% Priscilla …: 30,7%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,00 (+0,41) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iva … Priscilla … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,14 5,50 87,7%
Gamdom 1,18 5,60 84,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,44 3,25 69,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Iva …: -13,6% Priscilla …: +13,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Priscilla Hon
Ranking #121
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/23 = 60,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 94,0000
rank_ratio 4,4815
log_rank_ratio 1,5000
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1051,0000
best_rank_diff 64,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,2883
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,1272
surface_matches_ratio 0,8261
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 60,8696
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,2593
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,7000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,4281
first_serve_won_diff -4,9000
second_serve_won_diff -0,4000
bp_saved_diff 6,8000
bp_converted_diff 4,7000
aces_per_match_diff -2,9291
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 26,9300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 8,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 7,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0779
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 9,7422
serve_consistency_p2 6,6950
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,4324
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0376
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2027
elite_surface_amplifier 4,5767
UTR
utr_diff 0,4100
utr_p1 0,5188
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 3,3593
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23781
API ID 15345524
Gamdom ID 589781
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23781,
    "api_id": 15345524,
    "gamdom_id": 589781,
    "player1": "Iva Jovic",
    "player2": "Priscilla Hon",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T11:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1400000000000001,
      "p2": 5.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 5.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.16,
      "p2": 5.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6926,
    "prob_p2": 0.3074,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6926,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 121,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.86956521739131,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5188235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 4.481481481481482,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 1051,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.800000000000004,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 8,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.86956521739131,
    "utr_advantage": 3.3592789840229424,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 64,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.499953679592412,
    "rank_advantage": 94,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 7,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.288329519450791,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.428123569794053,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.077922077922078,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.9290617848970255,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.900000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.742199317150572,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.694982412677541,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.4323882828201495,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.25925925925925,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.4000000000000057,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8260869565217391,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 26.93,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.576659038901582,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.037578947368421045,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20269565217391305,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.1272141706924415,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}