Iva Jovic vs Priscilla Hon
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 15:55
21 Ene 2026, 15:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 69,3%
Priscilla …: 30,7%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,00
(+0,41)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iva … | Priscilla … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,14 | 5,50 | 87,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,18 | 5,60 | 84,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,44 | 3,25 | 69,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Iva …: -13,6%
Priscilla …: +13,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
12/19 = 63,2%
Priscilla Hon
Ranking
#121
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/23 = 60,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 94,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,4815 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1051,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 64,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,2883 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,1272 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8261 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,2593 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,4281 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,9291 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 26,9300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 7,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0779 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7422 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6950 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,4324 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0376 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2027 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,5767 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3593 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23781
API ID
15345524
Gamdom ID
589781
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23781,
"api_id": 15345524,
"gamdom_id": 589781,
"player1": "Iva Jovic",
"player2": "Priscilla Hon",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T11:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1400000000000001,
"p2": 5.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 5.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.16,
"p2": 5.18
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6926,
"prob_p2": 0.3074,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6926,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 121,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.86956521739131,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 4.481481481481482,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 1051,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.800000000000004,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 8,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.86956521739131,
"utr_advantage": 3.3592789840229424,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 64,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.499953679592412,
"rank_advantage": 94,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 7,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.288329519450791,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.700000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.428123569794053,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.077922077922078,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.9290617848970255,
"combined_confidence": 0.7,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.900000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.742199317150572,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.694982412677541,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.4323882828201495,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.25925925925925,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.4000000000000057,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8260869565217391,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 26.93,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.576659038901582,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.037578947368421045,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20269565217391305,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.1272141706924415,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}