Victoria Mboko vs Catherine McNally
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 83,3% Catherine …: 16,7%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Victoria … Catherine … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 3,00 71,4%
Gamdom 1,34 3,50 74,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,20 5,97 83,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Victoria …: +15,1% Catherine …: -15,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #13
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/26 = 76,9%
Catherine McNally
Ranking #85
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 69,0000
rank_ratio 5,3125
log_rank_ratio 1,6701
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1611,0000
best_rank_diff 37,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 24,5421
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,7111
surface_matches_ratio 1,2381
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 76,9231
surface_wr_p2 52,3810
surface_wr_p1_stable 73,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5385
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,6435
first_serve_won_diff 6,4923
second_serve_won_diff 5,1462
bp_saved_diff -0,5923
bp_converted_diff 2,2077
aces_per_match_diff 3,4267
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,5450
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4648
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 11,0599
serve_consistency_p2 6,6672
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 40,9869
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2002
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0928
elite_surface_amplifier 49,0842
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5435
utr_p2 0,5435
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23785
API ID 15345522
Gamdom ID 589775
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23785,
    "api_id": 15345522,
    "gamdom_id": 589775,
    "player1": "Victoria Mboko",
    "player2": "Catherine McNally",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T02:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8326,
    "prob_p2": 0.1674,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8326,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 13,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "utr_division": null,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 13,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
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    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 1611,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.5923076923076991,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 2.2076923076923123,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 11.64347985347986,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4647887323943662,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.4267399267399266,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.492307692307705,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.05992746200682,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.667167068021295,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 40.98688270871278,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.146153846153844,
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    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.545000000000002,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20023076923076943,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.71111111111111,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
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  "feature_importance": {}
}