Victoria Mboko vs Catherine McNally
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 06:25
21 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 83,3%
Catherine …: 16,7%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Victoria … | Catherine … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 3,00 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,34 | 3,50 | 74,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,20 | 5,97 | 83,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Victoria …: +15,1%
Catherine …: -15,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
20/26 = 76,9%
Catherine McNally
Ranking
#85
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 69,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,3125 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,6701 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1611,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 37,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 24,5421 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,7111 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2381 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 76,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,3810 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 73,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5385 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,6435 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,4923 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,1462 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,5923 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,2077 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,4267 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,5450 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4648 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,0599 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6672 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 40,9869 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2002 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0928 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 49,0842 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5435 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23785
API ID
15345522
Gamdom ID
589775
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23785,
"api_id": 15345522,
"gamdom_id": 589775,
"player1": "Victoria Mboko",
"player2": "Catherine McNally",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.34,
"p2": 3.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.29
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8326,
"prob_p2": 0.1674,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8326,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.62,
"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5435294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 5.3125,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 1611,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.5923076923076991,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.38095238095239,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 37,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.6700625342505353,
"rank_advantage": 69,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 24.542124542124547,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.2076923076923123,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.64347985347986,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4647887323943662,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.4267399267399266,
"combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.492307692307705,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.05992746200682,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.667167068021295,
"surface_rank_synergy": 40.98688270871278,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.146153846153844,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2380952380952381,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.545000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 49.084249084249095,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20023076923076943,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09280952380952379,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.71111111111111,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}