Botic Van de Zandschulp vs Juncheng Shang
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 07:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Botic …: 60,6% Juncheng …: 39,4%
¿Por qué Botic Van de Zandschulp?
UTR 15,09 vs 15,33 (-0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Botic … Juncheng … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,27 1,70 44,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,65 2,54 60,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Botic …: +17,5% Juncheng …: -17,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Ranking #75
UTR Rating 15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #81
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Juncheng Shang
Ranking #318
UTR Rating 15,33 Pro
UTR Ranking #45
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 243,0000
rank_ratio 4,2400
log_rank_ratio 1,4446
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 594,0000
best_rank_diff 25,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,6277
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,1251
surface_matches_ratio 2,3571
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,4848
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,6486
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0303
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,2091
first_serve_won_diff -0,8182
second_serve_won_diff 7,8182
bp_saved_diff -0,7545
bp_converted_diff 2,2455
aces_per_match_diff 0,6364
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,5510
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5904
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3077
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 4,9686
serve_consistency_p2 6,7617
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,1296
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2582
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1716
elite_surface_amplifier 11,2554
UTR
utr_diff -0,2400
utr_p1 0,8341
utr_p2 0,8624
utr_advantage -1,5779
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23789
API ID 15345247
Gamdom ID 589736
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23789,
    "api_id": 15345247,
    "gamdom_id": 589736,
    "player1": "Botic Van de Zandschulp",
    "player2": "Juncheng Shang",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T03:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.27,
      "p2": 1.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.22,
      "p2": 1.64
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6061,
    "prob_p2": 0.3939,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6061,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 75,
      "utr_singles": 15.09,
      "utr_ranking": 81,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 318,
      "utr_singles": 15.33,
      "utr_ranking": 45,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.09,
      "ranking": 81,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.33,
      "ranking": 45,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8341176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.8623529411764705,
    "utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 4.24,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 594,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.7545454545454504,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": -1.577909270216964,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 25,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.4445632692438664,
    "rank_advantage": 243,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3076923076923077,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.62770562770563,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.2454545454545425,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.2090909090908966,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5903614457831325,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4375,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6363636363636367,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.8181818181818272,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.968563844114879,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.761728498628849,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.129576839900551,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.818181818181813,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.357142857142857,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.551000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 11.25541125541126,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25815151515151513,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17157142857142854,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.1251251251251295,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}