Botic Van de Zandschulp vs Juncheng Shang
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 07:25
22 Ene 2026, 07:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Botic …: 60,6%
Juncheng …: 39,4%
¿Por qué Botic Van de Zandschulp?
UTR 15,09 vs 15,33
(-0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Botic … | Juncheng … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,27 | 1,70 | 44,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,65 | 2,54 | 60,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Botic …: +17,5%
Juncheng …: -17,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Ranking
#75
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Juncheng Shang
Ranking
#318
UTR Rating
15,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#45
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 243,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,2400 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4446 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 594,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,6277 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,1251 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,3571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,6486 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,2091 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,8182 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,8182 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,7545 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,2455 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6364 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,5510 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5904 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3077 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9686 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,7617 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,1296 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2582 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1716 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 11,2554 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8624 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,5779 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23789
API ID
15345247
Gamdom ID
589736
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23789,
"api_id": 15345247,
"gamdom_id": 589736,
"player1": "Botic Van de Zandschulp",
"player2": "Juncheng Shang",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T03:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.27,
"p2": 1.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.22,
"p2": 1.64
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6061,
"prob_p2": 0.3939,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6061,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 75,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 81,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 318,
"utr_singles": 15.33,
"utr_ranking": 45,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 81,
"division": "Pro",
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},
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"ranking": 45,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8623529411764705,
"utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 4.24,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 594,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.7545454545454504,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": -1.577909270216964,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 25,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.4445632692438664,
"rank_advantage": 243,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3076923076923077,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.62770562770563,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.2454545454545425,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.2090909090908966,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5903614457831325,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4375,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6363636363636367,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.8181818181818272,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.968563844114879,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.761728498628849,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.129576839900551,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.818181818181813,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.357142857142857,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.551000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 11.25541125541126,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25815151515151513,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17157142857142854,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.1251251251251295,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}