Alex Michelsen vs Colton Smith
Indian Wells | Hard | Round of 64
08 Mar 2025, 03:30
08 Mar 2025, 03:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Colton … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#41
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/34 = 50,0%
Colton Smith
Ranking
#161
UTR Rating
14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#221
Forma L5
100% (3p)
Forma L10
100% (3p)
WR Hard
18/30 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 120,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,9268 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3678 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 789,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 103,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,1665 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,5426 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,8511 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,2453 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,4118 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,2418 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,7843 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,0129 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,2027 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0654 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,8904 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,0271 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,0669 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -37,5100 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8512 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,7016 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -9,8025 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0775 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2341 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -14,3330 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8447 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,7608 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
2379
API ID
13537562
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Indian Wells
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2379,
"api_id": 13537562,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Colton Smith",
"tournament": "Indian Wells",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-03-07T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 41,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 161,
"utr_singles": 14.33,
"utr_ranking": 221,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 75,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 221,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.926829268292683,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.3678322982801552,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 789,
"best_rank_diff": 103,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.166481687014425,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.5425554837319453,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.851063829787234,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.24528301886792,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.41176470588235,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.24175824175825,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.78431372549019,
"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.01289785423603007,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.20272031076582664,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.06540954495005735,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.890361820199772,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.0270577136514873,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.06694043655197923,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -59.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -37.51,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8511904761904762,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.70162090550225,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": -9.802545116531585,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07754716981132082,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.23411764705882343,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -14.33296337402885,
"utr_diff": 0.8499999999999996,
"utr_p1": 0.8447058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_advantage": 5.76075906472382,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
"utr_available": "0.0143"
}
}