Kamil Majchrzak vs Fábián Marozsán
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamil Majchrzak
Kamil …: 67,6% Fábián …: 32,4%
¿Por qué Kamil Majchrzak?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kamil … Fábián … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,48 3,08 67,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Kamil …: +26,2% Fábián …: -26,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kamil Majchrzak
Ranking #59
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/30 = 66,7%
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking #47
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -12,0000
rank_ratio 0,7966
log_rank_ratio -0,2274
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -147,0000
best_rank_diff -22,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,0538
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,2773
surface_matches_ratio 0,9677
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 51,6129
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,7059
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,4286
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,4622
first_serve_won_diff 2,0158
second_serve_won_diff -2,5787
bp_saved_diff 4,6684
bp_converted_diff 5,1590
aces_per_match_diff 1,1140
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,9010
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0866
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1456
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3529
serve_consistency_p1 11,7742
serve_consistency_p2 5,8654
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,4231
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1787
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0041
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8718
utr_p2 0,8718
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23791
API ID 15345254
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23791,
    "api_id": 15345254,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Kamil Majchrzak",
    "player2": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 11.8,
      "p2": 1.04
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6757,
    "prob_p2": 0.3243,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6757,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 59,
      "utr_singles": 15.41,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
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      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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    "p2": {
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  },
  "features": {
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    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
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    "points_diff": -147,
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    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
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    "match_load_p1": 3,
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    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.145631067961165,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1139784946236562,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.015806451612903,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.774180328131203,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.86535126847455,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.423072893268012,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.27731092436975,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}