Kamil Majchrzak vs Fábián Marozsán
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamil Majchrzak
Kamil …: 67,6%
Fábián …: 32,4%
¿Por qué Kamil Majchrzak?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kamil … | Fábián … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,30 | 1,62 | 43,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,48 | 3,08 | 67,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kamil …: +26,2%
Fábián …: -26,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kamil Majchrzak
Ranking
#59
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/30 = 66,7%
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#47
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -12,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7966 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2274 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -147,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -22,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,0538 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,2773 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9677 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,4622 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,0158 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,5787 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,6684 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,1590 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1140 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,9010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0866 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1456 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,7742 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,8654 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,4231 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1787 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0041 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8718 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8718 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23791
API ID
15345254
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23791,
"api_id": 15345254,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Kamil Majchrzak",
"player2": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 11.8,
"p2": 1.04
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6757,
"prob_p2": 0.3243,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6757,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 59,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 47,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.871764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.7966101694915254,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -147,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.6683870967741825,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -22,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.22738984219566089,
"rank_advantage": -12,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.053763440860209,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.159032258064517,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.4622473118279586,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0866141732283465,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.145631067961165,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1139784946236562,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.015806451612903,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.774180328131203,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.86535126847455,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.423072893268012,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.5787096774193543,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.967741935483871,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.900999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17866666666666653,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.004129032258064491,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.27731092436975,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}