Rinky Hijikata vs Valentin Vacherot
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Vacherot
Rinky …: 30,2% Valentin …: 69,8%
¿Por qué Valentin Vacherot?
UTR 14,82 vs 15,59 (-0,77) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Rinky … Valentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,50 38,0%
Gamdom 2,60 1,55 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,31 1,43 30,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Rinky …: -6,1% Valentin …: +6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking #114
UTR Rating 14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking #110
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 26/47 = 55,3%
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 15,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 21/32 = 65,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -83,0000
rank_ratio 0,2719
log_rank_ratio -1,3022
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -977,0000
best_rank_diff -32,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,3059
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,9869
surface_matches_ratio 1,4688
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,3191
surface_wr_p2 65,6250
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,9020
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,8889
p1_surface_matches 47,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1064
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,3003
first_serve_won_diff -5,4025
second_serve_won_diff -3,1139
bp_saved_diff -4,3540
bp_converted_diff 1,9539
aces_per_match_diff -4,3324
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,1300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7258
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6111
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 8,1150
serve_consistency_p2 9,9914
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 13,4204
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1362
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0733
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7700
utr_p1 0,8024
utr_p2 0,8929
utr_advantage -5,0641
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23792
API ID 15345303
Gamdom ID 589750
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23792,
    "api_id": 15345303,
    "gamdom_id": 589750,
    "player1": "Rinky Hijikata",
    "player2": "Valentin Vacherot",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.52,
      "p2": 1.52
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3018,
    "prob_p2": 0.6982,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6982,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 114,
      "utr_singles": 14.82,
      "utr_ranking": 110,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.319148936170215,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 31,
      "utr_singles": 15.59,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.625,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.82,
      "ranking": 110,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.59,
      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8929411764705882,
    "utr_diff": -0.7699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2719298245614035,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -977,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.353989361702126,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.319148936170215,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.625,
    "utr_advantage": -5.064123643538307,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -32,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3022112439093492,
    "rank_advantage": -83,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.305851063829785,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.9539228723404207,
    "p1_surface_matches": 47,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.300325797872347,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7258064516129032,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.332446808510638,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.402526595744689,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10638297872340426,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.114963179649974,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.991421568003876,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 13.420395133374273,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.90196078431373,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.888888888888886,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.1138962765957388,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.46875,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.1299999999999955,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1361914893617021,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07325000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.986928104575156,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}