Rinky Hijikata vs Valentin Vacherot
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Vacherot
Rinky …: 30,2%
Valentin …: 69,8%
¿Por qué Valentin Vacherot?
UTR 14,82 vs 15,59
(-0,77)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rinky … | Valentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,50 | 38,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,60 | 1,55 | 38,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,31 | 1,43 | 30,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rinky …: -6,1%
Valentin …: +6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking
#114
UTR Rating
14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/47 = 55,3%
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
15,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/32 = 65,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -83,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2719 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3022 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -977,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -32,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,3059 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,9869 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4688 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,3191 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,9020 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8889 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1064 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12,3003 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,4025 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,1139 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,3540 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,9539 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,3324 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,1300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7258 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,1150 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,9914 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 13,4204 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1362 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0733 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8929 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,0641 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23792
API ID
15345303
Gamdom ID
589750
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23792,
"api_id": 15345303,
"gamdom_id": 589750,
"player1": "Rinky Hijikata",
"player2": "Valentin Vacherot",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.63,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.6,
"p2": 1.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.52,
"p2": 1.52
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3018,
"prob_p2": 0.6982,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6982,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 114,
"utr_singles": 14.82,
"utr_ranking": 110,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.319148936170215,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 15.59,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.625,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 110,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.59,
"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8929411764705882,
"utr_diff": -0.7699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.2719298245614035,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -977,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.353989361702126,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.319148936170215,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.625,
"utr_advantage": -5.064123643538307,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -32,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3022112439093492,
"rank_advantage": -83,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.305851063829785,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.9539228723404207,
"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.300325797872347,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7258064516129032,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.332446808510638,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.402526595744689,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10638297872340426,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.114963179649974,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.991421568003876,
"surface_rank_synergy": 13.420395133374273,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.90196078431373,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.888888888888886,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.1138962765957388,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.46875,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.1299999999999955,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1361914893617021,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07325000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.986928104575156,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}