Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Paula Badosa
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Paula Badosa
Oksana …: 36,4%
Paula …: 63,6%
¿Por qué Paula Badosa?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,62
(-0,60)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Oksana … | Paula … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,00 | 1,25 | 25,0% |
| Gamdom | 4,10 | 1,27 | 24,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,74 | 1,57 | 36,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Oksana …: +12,6%
Paula …: -12,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ranking
#101
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
9/13 = 69,2%
Paula Badosa
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/22 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -75,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2574 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3570 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -907,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -94,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,1399 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,2315 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5909 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,2308 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,6923 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3846 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6033 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,3445 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,2227 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,4727 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,1864 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,9266 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7886 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7039 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,6957 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -13,7600 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2673 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0159 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5435 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,8701 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23797
API ID
15345464
Gamdom ID
589804
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23797,
"api_id": 15345464,
"gamdom_id": 589804,
"player1": "Oksana Selekhmeteva",
"player2": "Paula Badosa",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.1,
"p2": 1.27
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.9,
"p2": 1.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3644,
"prob_p2": 0.6356,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6356,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 101,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 100,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 12,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 100,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 12,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5435294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.5999999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.25742574257425743,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -907,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.472727272727269,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 19.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.23076923076923,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.09090909090909,
"utr_advantage": -4.870129870129867,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -94,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3570239788197773,
"rank_advantage": -75,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.139860139860133,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.1863636363636232,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 22,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.3445104895104905,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.37777777777777777,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7886178861788617,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.9265734265734262,
"combined_confidence": 0.6033333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.222727272727269,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.38461538461538464,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.703889467328784,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.695676149611353,
"surface_rank_synergy": -13.760033351669062,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.692307692307686,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.3999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5909090909090909,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.10000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.26730769230769225,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.015909090909090984,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.231523378582205,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}