Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Paula Badosa
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Paula Badosa
Oksana …: 36,4% Paula …: 63,6%
¿Por qué Paula Badosa?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,62 (-0,60) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Oksana … Paula … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,25 25,0%
Gamdom 4,10 1,27 24,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,74 1,57 36,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Oksana …: +12,6% Paula …: -12,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ranking #101
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #100
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 9/13 = 69,2%
Paula Badosa
Ranking #26
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #12
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 13/22 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -75,0000
rank_ratio 0,2574
log_rank_ratio -1,3570
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -907,0000
best_rank_diff -94,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,1399
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,2315
surface_matches_ratio 0,5909
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,2308
surface_wr_p2 59,0909
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,7059
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,6923
p1_surface_matches 13,0000
p2_surface_matches 22,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3846
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4733
p2_confidence 0,7333
combined_confidence 0,6033
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,3445
first_serve_won_diff -5,2227
second_serve_won_diff 0,4000
bp_saved_diff -8,4727
bp_converted_diff 0,1864
aces_per_match_diff -1,9266
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 21,1000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7886
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 9,7039
serve_consistency_p2 9,6957
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -13,7600
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2673
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0159
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6000
utr_p1 0,4729
utr_p2 0,5435
utr_advantage -4,8701
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23797
API ID 15345464
Gamdom ID 589804
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23797,
    "api_id": 15345464,
    "gamdom_id": 589804,
    "player1": "Oksana Selekhmeteva",
    "player2": "Paula Badosa",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.1,
      "p2": 1.27
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.9,
      "p2": 1.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3644,
    "prob_p2": 0.6356,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6356,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 101,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 100,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 26,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 12,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 100,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.62,
      "ranking": 12,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4729411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.5435294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.5999999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.25742574257425743,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -907,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.472727272727269,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.23076923076923,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.09090909090909,
    "utr_advantage": -4.870129870129867,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -94,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3570239788197773,
    "rank_advantage": -75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.139860139860133,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.1863636363636232,
    "p1_surface_matches": 13,
    "p2_surface_matches": 22,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.3445104895104905,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.37777777777777777,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7886178861788617,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.9265734265734262,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6033333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.222727272727269,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.38461538461538464,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.703889467328784,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.695676149611353,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -13.760033351669062,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.692307692307686,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.3999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5909090909090909,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 21.10000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.26730769230769225,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.015909090909090984,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.231523378582205,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}