Talia Gibson vs Diana Shnaider
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diana Shnaider
Talia …: 22,9%
Diana …: 77,1%
¿Por qué Diana Shnaider?
UTR 11,84 vs 12,43
(-0,59)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Talia … | Diana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 5,00 | 1,17 | 20,0% |
| Gamdom | 4,30 | 1,26 | 23,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,37 | 1,30 | 22,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Talia …: +3,9%
Diana …: -3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Talia Gibson
Ranking
#119
UTR Rating
11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#145
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
6/16 = 37,5%
Diana Shnaider
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -97,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1849 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,6881 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1319,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -94,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,1129 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,7619 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5161 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,6450 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8125 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -30,1500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5361 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8855 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4375 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1497 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,6821 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 23,8237 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0280 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0809 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5212 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,8620 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23798
API ID
15345440
Gamdom ID
589809
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23798,
"api_id": 15345440,
"gamdom_id": 589809,
"player1": "Talia Gibson",
"player2": "Diana Shnaider",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 5.0,
"p2": 1.17
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.3,
"p2": 1.26
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.04,
"p2": 1.24
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2287,
"prob_p2": 0.7713,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7713,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 119,
"utr_singles": 11.84,
"utr_ranking": 145,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.84,
"ranking": 145,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.43,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5211764705882352,
"utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.18487394957983194,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -1319,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.100000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
"utr_advantage": -4.861969509682735,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -94,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6880810397532136,
"rank_advantage": -97,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.112903225806448,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.900000000000006,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.645000000000003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5360824742268041,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8854961832061069,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8125,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.149656698436741,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.682132392491592,
"surface_rank_synergy": 23.823724351355832,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5161290322580645,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -30.150000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.028000000000000025,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08087096774193547,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.761904761904757,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}