Talia Gibson vs Diana Shnaider
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diana Shnaider
Talia …: 22,9% Diana …: 77,1%
¿Por qué Diana Shnaider?
UTR 11,84 vs 12,43 (-0,59) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Talia … Diana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 5,00 1,17 20,0%
Gamdom 4,30 1,26 23,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,37 1,30 22,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Talia …: +3,9% Diana …: -3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Talia Gibson
Ranking #119
UTR Rating 11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #145
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 6/16 = 37,5%
Diana Shnaider
Ranking #22
UTR Rating 12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -97,0000
rank_ratio 0,1849
log_rank_ratio -1,6881
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1319,0000
best_rank_diff -94,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,1129
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,7619
surface_matches_ratio 0,5161
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 37,5000
surface_wr_p2 51,6129
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,4286
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,6450
first_serve_won_diff 0,1000
second_serve_won_diff -0,1000
bp_saved_diff -7,1000
bp_converted_diff -9,9000
aces_per_match_diff 1,8125
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -30,1500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5361
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8855
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4375
serve_consistency_p1 7,1497
serve_consistency_p2 11,6821
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 23,8237
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0280
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0809
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5900
utr_p1 0,4518
utr_p2 0,5212
utr_advantage -4,8620
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23798
API ID 15345440
Gamdom ID 589809
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23798,
    "api_id": 15345440,
    "gamdom_id": 589809,
    "player1": "Talia Gibson",
    "player2": "Diana Shnaider",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 5.0,
      "p2": 1.17
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.3,
      "p2": 1.26
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.04,
      "p2": 1.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2287,
    "prob_p2": 0.7713,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7713,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 119,
      "utr_singles": 11.84,
      "utr_ranking": 145,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 22,
      "utr_singles": 12.43,
      "utr_ranking": 29,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.84,
      "ranking": 145,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.43,
      "ranking": 29,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4517647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.5211764705882352,
    "utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.18487394957983194,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -1319,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.100000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
    "utr_advantage": -4.861969509682735,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -94,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6880810397532136,
    "rank_advantage": -97,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.112903225806448,
    "bp_converted_diff": -9.900000000000006,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.645000000000003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5360824742268041,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8854961832061069,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.8125,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.149656698436741,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.682132392491592,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 23.823724351355832,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5161290322580645,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -30.150000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.028000000000000025,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08087096774193547,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.761904761904757,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}