Alexander Zverev vs Alexandre Muller
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 12:10
21 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 89,1%
Alexandre …: 10,9%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,12
(+0,62)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Alexandre … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,11 | 6,50 | 90,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,05 | 13,00 | 95,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,12 | 9,19 | 89,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: +3,7%
Alexandre …: -3,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
32/45 = 71,1%
Alexandre Muller
Ranking
#52
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/25 = 44,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 49,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 17,3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,8526 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4125,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 36,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 27,1111 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 22,5135 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,3878 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,8276 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,7391 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,8600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,2027 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,9787 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,7156 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,8900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,4842 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0182 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5823 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3730 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7136 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 77,3380 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1621 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0110 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 81,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9106 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,0181 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23806
API ID
15345290
Gamdom ID
589713
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23806,
"api_id": 15345290,
"gamdom_id": 589713,
"player1": "Alexander Zverev",
"player2": "Alexandre Muller",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T08:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.11,
"p2": 6.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 13.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 9.96
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8912,
"prob_p2": 0.1088,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8912,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 15.74,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 52,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.74,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.12,
"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8376470588235293,
"utr_diff": 0.620000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 17.333333333333332,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 4125,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.202666666666666,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.0,
"utr_advantage": 4.018146467919643,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 36,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.8526314299133175,
"rank_advantage": 49,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 27.111111111111114,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.978666666666662,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.739111111111107,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5822784810126582,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.715555555555555,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.48418983996174725,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.372955288703325,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.71359876985466,
"surface_rank_synergy": 77.33800765542773,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.827586206896555,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.8600000000000065,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.8,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.89,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 81.33333333333334,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1621111111111112,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.011000000000000065,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 22.513488153882236,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}