Alexander Zverev vs Alexandre Muller
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 89,1% Alexandre …: 10,9%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,12 (+0,62) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Alexandre … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,11 6,50 90,1%
Gamdom 1,05 13,00 95,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,12 9,19 89,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: +3,7% Alexandre …: -3,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 32/45 = 71,1%
Alexandre Muller
Ranking #52
UTR Rating 15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/25 = 44,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 49,0000
rank_ratio 17,3333
log_rank_ratio 2,8526
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 4125,0000
best_rank_diff 36,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 27,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 22,5135
surface_matches_ratio 1,8000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,1111
surface_wr_p2 44,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,3878
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,8276
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4222
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,9167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,7391
first_serve_won_diff 4,5000
second_serve_won_diff 6,8600
bp_saved_diff 6,2027
bp_converted_diff 1,9787
aces_per_match_diff 3,7156
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12,8900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,4842
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0182
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5823
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4545
serve_consistency_p1 9,3730
serve_consistency_p2 7,7136
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 77,3380
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1621
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0110
elite_surface_amplifier 81,3333
UTR
utr_diff 0,6200
utr_p1 0,9106
utr_p2 0,8376
utr_advantage 4,0181
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23806
API ID 15345290
Gamdom ID 589713
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23806,
    "api_id": 15345290,
    "gamdom_id": 589713,
    "player1": "Alexander Zverev",
    "player2": "Alexandre Muller",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T08:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.11,
      "p2": 6.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 13.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 9.96
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8912,
    "prob_p2": 0.1088,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8912,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 15.74,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 52,
      "utr_singles": 15.12,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.74,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.12,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9105882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.8376470588235293,
    "utr_diff": 0.620000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 17.333333333333332,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 4125,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.202666666666666,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.018146467919643,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 36,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.8526314299133175,
    "rank_advantage": 49,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 27.111111111111114,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.978666666666662,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.739111111111107,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5822784810126582,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.715555555555555,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.48418983996174725,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.372955288703325,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.71359876985466,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 77.33800765542773,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.827586206896555,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.8600000000000065,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.8,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 12.89,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 81.33333333333334,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1621111111111112,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.011000000000000065,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 22.513488153882236,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}