Patricio Alvarado vs Lachlan Gaskell
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay |
20 Ene 2026, 02:10
20 Ene 2026, 02:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Patricio Alvarado
Patricio …: 61,8%
Lachlan …: 38,3%
¿Por qué Patricio Alvarado?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,00
(+0,77)
— Niveles similares
Patricio …
W58-L36
62% WR
vs UTR 12,2
L1
Lachlan …
W19-L29
40% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Patricio … | Lachlan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,39 | 2,55 | 71,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,62 | 2,61 | 61,8% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Patricio Alvarado
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1319
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Clay
0/2 = 0,0%
Lachlan Gaskell
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3538
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Patricio Alvarado
Record 2025
58W - 36L (62%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,2
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
Lachlan Gaskell
Record 2025
19W - 29L (40%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,1
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,3111 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 26,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 38,5300 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 53,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 36,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 36,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 38,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,2172 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23809
API ID
15397074
Gamdom ID
614519
Torneo
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23809,
"api_id": 15397074,
"gamdom_id": 614519,
"player1": "Patricio Alvarado",
"player2": "Lachlan Gaskell",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-19T22:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.39,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 2.78
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6175,
"prob_p2": 0.3825,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6175,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.77,
"utr_ranking": 1319,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 58,
"utr_v4_losses": 36,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.702127659574465,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.16,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.99,
"opponent_name": "Matt Kuhar"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Cristian Gonzalez"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.22,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Martinez"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.24,
"opponent_name": "Fernando Cavallo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.33,
"opponent_name": "Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz de Rozas"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:08.780808+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 3538,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 19,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 39.58333333333333,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.06,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.62,
"opponent_name": "Thijs Boogaard"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.73,
"opponent_name": "Tristan Stringer"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.64,
"opponent_name": "Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.02,
"opponent_name": "Clement Lemire"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jerrid Gaines Jr"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:14.587217+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.77,
"ranking": 1319,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 3538,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5611764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.7699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 36.8,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 6.217198223657647,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 38.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 38.53,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 53.4,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 26.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 36.1,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.311111111111113,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}