Fred Gil vs Cian McDonnell
UTR Carvoeiro M02 | Hard |
25 Ene 2026, 15:30
25 Ene 2026, 15:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Fred Gil
Fred …: 52,7%
Cian …: 47,3%
¿Por qué Fred Gil?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00
— Niveles similares
Fred …
W58-L32
64% WR
vs UTR 11,5
L1
Cian …
W43-L34
56% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Fred … | Cian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 2,30 | 1,48 | 43,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,90 | 2,11 | 52,7% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fred Gil
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3559
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Cian McDonnell
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2067
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (9p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Fred Gil
Record 2025
58W - 32L (64%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11,5
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
Cian McDonnell
Record 2025
43W - 34L (56%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,0
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,5749 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,7766 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23817
API ID
15397002
Gamdom ID
614505
Torneo
UTR Carvoeiro M02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23817,
"api_id": 15397002,
"gamdom_id": 614505,
"player1": "Fred Gil",
"player2": "Cian McDonnell",
"tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro M02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-25T11:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.42,
"p2": 1.5
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.527,
"prob_p2": 0.473,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.527,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 3559,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 58,
"utr_v4_losses": 32,
"utr_v4_wr": 64.44444444444444,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.48,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Raphael Calzi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Ricardo Ramos"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.58,
"opponent_name": "Sean HODKIN"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.84,
"opponent_name": "Marcel Volz"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.26,
"opponent_name": "Sebastian Fanselow"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:26.478982+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2067,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 43,
"utr_v4_losses": 34,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.84415584415584,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.98,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Dylan Leeman"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.43,
"opponent_name": "Matei Florin Breazu"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Oscar Brown"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Janos FEKETE"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.89,
"opponent_name": "Daniel Siniakov"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:49.582994+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 3559,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2067,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": -1.9999999999999964,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.574904845786888,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.776623250464388,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}