Ashlyn Krueger vs Madison Keys
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Madison Keys
Ashlyn …: 24,7% Madison …: 75,4%
¿Por qué Madison Keys?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,50 (-0,48) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ashlyn … Madison … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,25 25,0%
Gamdom 4,60 1,23 21,7%
IA Fair Odds 4,06 1,33 24,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Ashlyn …: +0,8% Madison …: -0,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 18/34 = 52,9%
Madison Keys
Ranking #9
UTR Rating 12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #25
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -53,0000
rank_ratio 0,1452
log_rank_ratio -1,9299
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -3085,0000
best_rank_diff -24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -22,0588
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -19,5906
surface_matches_ratio 1,0625
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,9412
surface_wr_p2 75,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 72,2222
p1_surface_matches 34,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,1312
first_serve_won_diff -3,2000
second_serve_won_diff 3,6750
bp_saved_diff -2,8375
bp_converted_diff 0,0562
aces_per_match_diff 0,3143
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -20,7800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6610
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7788
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,0688
serve_consistency_p2 5,3054
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 42,5715
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0824
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1970
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4800
utr_p1 0,4729
utr_p2 0,5294
utr_advantage -3,9152
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23824
API ID 15345471
Gamdom ID 589797
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23824,
    "api_id": 15345471,
    "gamdom_id": 589797,
    "player1": "Ashlyn Krueger",
    "player2": "Madison Keys",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.6,
      "p2": 1.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.23,
      "p2": 1.22
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2465,
    "prob_p2": 0.7535,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7535,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 9,
      "utr_singles": 12.5,
      "utr_ranking": 25,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.5,
      "ranking": 25,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": -0.4800000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 0.14516129032258066,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -3085,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.8374999999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
    "utr_advantage": -3.9151712887438865,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.929909807708872,
    "rank_advantage": -53,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -22.05882352941176,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.05624999999999858,
    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.13117647058822968,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6610169491525424,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.778816199376947,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.31433823529411775,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.1999999999999957,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.0688232340025365,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.305414243554865,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 42.571539875930995,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.674999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -20.78,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0824117647058824,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19699999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.590643274853797,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}