Ashlyn Krueger vs Madison Keys
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Madison Keys
Ashlyn …: 24,7%
Madison …: 75,4%
¿Por qué Madison Keys?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,50
(-0,48)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ashlyn … | Madison … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,00 | 1,25 | 25,0% |
| Gamdom | 4,60 | 1,23 | 21,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,06 | 1,33 | 24,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ashlyn …: +0,8%
Madison …: -0,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#97
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
18/34 = 52,9%
Madison Keys
Ranking
#9
UTR Rating
12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -53,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1452 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,9299 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -3085,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22,0588 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19,5906 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0625 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 72,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,1312 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,6750 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,8375 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0562 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3143 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,7800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6610 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7788 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0688 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,3054 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 42,5715 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0824 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1970 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5294 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,9152 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23824
API ID
15345471
Gamdom ID
589797
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23824,
"api_id": 15345471,
"gamdom_id": 589797,
"player1": "Ashlyn Krueger",
"player2": "Madison Keys",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.6,
"p2": 1.23
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.23,
"p2": 1.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2465,
"prob_p2": 0.7535,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7535,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 62,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 97,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 9,
"utr_singles": 12.5,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 97,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.5,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4729411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"utr_diff": -0.4800000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 0.14516129032258066,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -3085,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.8374999999999986,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
"utr_advantage": -3.9151712887438865,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -24,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.929909807708872,
"rank_advantage": -53,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -22.05882352941176,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.05624999999999858,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.13117647058822968,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6610169491525424,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.778816199376947,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.31433823529411775,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.1999999999999957,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.0688232340025365,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.305414243554865,
"surface_rank_synergy": 42.571539875930995,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.674999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0625,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.78,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0824117647058824,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19699999999999995,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.590643274853797,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}