Janice Tjen vs Karolína Plíšková
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Janice Tjen
Janice …: 85,6% Karolína …: 14,5%
¿Por qué Janice Tjen?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Janice … Karolína … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,28 3,75 78,1%
Gamdom 1,27 3,55 78,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,17 6,92 85,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Janice …: +11,0% Karolína …: -11,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Janice Tjen
Ranking #59
UTR Rating 12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #43
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 6/9 = 66,7%
Karolína Plíšková
Ranking #-
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 441,0000
rank_ratio 8,4746
log_rank_ratio 2,1371
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1075,0000
best_rank_diff 447,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 66,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,3385
surface_matches_ratio 9,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,0513
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 58,6700
first_serve_won_diff 69,0000
second_serve_won_diff 53,9000
bp_saved_diff 50,0000
bp_converted_diff 44,7000
aces_per_match_diff 4,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 48,9796
momentum_diff 1,0204
weighted_momentum_diff 15,1192
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8182
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2676
serve_consistency_p2 3,8685
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 142,4714
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2743
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0590
elite_surface_amplifier 133,3333
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5047
utr_p2 0,5047
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23825
API ID 15345460
Gamdom ID 589807
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23825,
    "api_id": 15345460,
    "gamdom_id": 589807,
    "player1": "Janice Tjen",
    "player2": "Karol\u00edna Pl\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T01:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.35,
      "p2": 1.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8555,
    "prob_p2": 0.1445,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8555,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 59,
      "utr_singles": 12.29,
      "utr_ranking": 43,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.29,
      "ranking": 43,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5047058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.5047058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 8.474576271186441,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.9795918367347,
    "points_diff": 1075,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 50.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 1.0204081632653015,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 447,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.137070654516472,
    "rank_advantage": 441,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 66.66666666666666,
    "bp_converted_diff": 44.7,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 58.67,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8181818181818182,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 69.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.2675518094529785,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.8684791970264905,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 142.4713769677648,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.05128205128205,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 53.9,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 9.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.119183673469394,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 133.33333333333331,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.27433333333333354,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05899999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.338461538461538,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}