Janice Tjen vs Karolína Plíšková
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 05:35
22 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Janice Tjen
Janice …: 85,6%
Karolína …: 14,5%
¿Por qué Janice Tjen?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Janice … | Karolína … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,28 | 3,75 | 78,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,27 | 3,55 | 78,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,17 | 6,92 | 85,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Janice …: +11,0%
Karolína …: -11,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Janice Tjen
Ranking
#59
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#43
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
6/9 = 66,7%
Karolína Plíšková
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 441,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 8,4746 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,1371 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1075,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 447,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,3385 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 9,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,0513 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 58,6700 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 69,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 53,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 50,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 44,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,9796 | |
| momentum_diff | 1,0204 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,1192 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8182 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2676 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,8685 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 142,4714 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2743 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0590 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 133,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5047 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23825
API ID
15345460
Gamdom ID
589807
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23825,
"api_id": 15345460,
"gamdom_id": 589807,
"player1": "Janice Tjen",
"player2": "Karol\u00edna Pl\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T01:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.35,
"p2": 1.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8555,
"prob_p2": 0.1445,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8555,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 59,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 43,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 43,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5047058823529411,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 8.474576271186441,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.9795918367347,
"points_diff": 1075,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 50.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 1.0204081632653015,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 447,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.137070654516472,
"rank_advantage": 441,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 66.66666666666666,
"bp_converted_diff": 44.7,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 58.67,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8181818181818182,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 69.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.2675518094529785,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.8684791970264905,
"surface_rank_synergy": 142.4713769677648,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.05128205128205,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 53.9,
"surface_matches_ratio": 9.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.119183673469394,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 133.33333333333331,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.27433333333333354,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05899999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.338461538461538,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}