Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Katerina …: 18,8% Amanda …: 81,2%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,46 vs 12,84 (-0,38) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Katerina … Amanda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,28 26,7%
Gamdom 3,80 1,30 26,3%
IA Fair Odds 5,32 1,23 18,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Katerina …: -6,7% Amanda …: +6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katerina Siniakova
Ranking #45
UTR Rating 12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking #26
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/33 = 63,6%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking #4
UTR Rating 12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -41,0000
rank_ratio 0,0889
log_rank_ratio -2,4204
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -5105,0000
best_rank_diff -24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,3366
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,5695
surface_matches_ratio 0,8919
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,6364
surface_wr_p2 72,9730
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,1622
surface_wr_p2_stable 70,7317
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2727
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,8069
first_serve_won_diff -2,9992
second_serve_won_diff -1,5703
bp_saved_diff -0,4145
bp_converted_diff 3,8500
aces_per_match_diff -1,9181
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,1040
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6852
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9504
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 7,5000
serve_consistency_p2 6,3339
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 22,5980
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1774
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1887
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3800
utr_p1 0,5247
utr_p2 0,5694
utr_advantage -3,0040
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23826
API ID 15345461
Gamdom ID 589810
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23826,
    "api_id": 15345461,
    "gamdom_id": 589810,
    "player1": "Katerina Siniakova",
    "player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T03:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.28
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.8,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.66,
      "p2": 1.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1879,
    "prob_p2": 0.8121,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8121,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 45,
      "utr_singles": 12.46,
      "utr_ranking": 26,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 4,
      "utr_singles": 12.84,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.46,
      "ranking": 26,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.84,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5247058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.5694117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -0.379999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.08888888888888889,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -5105,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.4144963144963256,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.63636363636363,
    "surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
    "utr_advantage": -3.0039525691699525,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.4203681286504293,
    "rank_advantage": -41,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.336609336609335,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.850040950040949,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.8068714168714095,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6851851851851852,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.9180999180999183,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.999180999180993,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.5000494796797135,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.333883185214794,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 22.59803166798926,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.16216216216216,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.5702702702702638,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8918918918918919,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.1039999999999992,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1773636363636364,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18872972972972968,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.569545154911012,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}