Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 07:50
22 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Katerina …: 18,8%
Amanda …: 81,2%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,46 vs 12,84
(-0,38)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Katerina … | Amanda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,28 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 3,80 | 1,30 | 26,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,32 | 1,23 | 18,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Katerina …: -6,7%
Amanda …: +6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katerina Siniakova
Ranking
#45
UTR Rating
12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#26
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
21/33 = 63,6%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -41,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0889 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,4204 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -5105,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,3366 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,5695 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8919 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,6364 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72,9730 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,1622 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,7317 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2727 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,8069 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,9992 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,5703 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,4145 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,8500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,9181 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,1040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6852 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9504 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3339 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 22,5980 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1774 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1887 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5247 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5694 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,0040 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23826
API ID
15345461
Gamdom ID
589810
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23826,
"api_id": 15345461,
"gamdom_id": 589810,
"player1": "Katerina Siniakova",
"player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T03:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.28
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.8,
"p2": 1.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.66,
"p2": 1.28
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1879,
"prob_p2": 0.8121,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8121,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 45,
"utr_singles": 12.46,
"utr_ranking": 26,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 4,
"utr_singles": 12.84,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 26,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5694117647058823,
"utr_diff": -0.379999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.08888888888888889,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -5105,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.4144963144963256,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.63636363636363,
"surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
"utr_advantage": -3.0039525691699525,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -24,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.4203681286504293,
"rank_advantage": -41,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.336609336609335,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.850040950040949,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.8068714168714095,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6851851851851852,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.9180999180999183,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.999180999180993,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.5000494796797135,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.333883185214794,
"surface_rank_synergy": 22.59803166798926,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.16216216216216,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.5702702702702638,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8918918918918919,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.1039999999999992,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1773636363636364,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18872972972972968,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.569545154911012,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}