Linda Fruhvirtova vs Tereza Valentová
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 10:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tereza Valentová
Linda …: 13,7% Tereza …: 86,3%
¿Por qué Tereza Valentová?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Linda … Tereza … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,25 25,0%
Gamdom 4,70 1,22 21,3%
IA Fair Odds 7,30 1,16 13,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Linda …: -10,1% Tereza …: +10,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Linda Fruhvirtova
Ranking #132
UTR Rating 11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #173
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/21 = 52,4%
Tereza Valentová
Ranking #54
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 13/16 = 81,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -78,0000
rank_ratio 0,4091
log_rank_ratio -0,8938
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -573,0000
best_rank_diff 6,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -28,8690
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,1833
surface_matches_ratio 1,3125
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,3810
surface_wr_p2 81,2500
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 75,0000
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0476
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,6167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,3493
first_serve_won_diff -5,9000
second_serve_won_diff -7,7000
bp_saved_diff -3,2000
bp_converted_diff -8,8000
aces_per_match_diff -0,0446
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,0000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7273
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,2761
serve_consistency_p2 4,4948
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 25,8037
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1018
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2345
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4388
utr_p2 0,4388
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23827
API ID 15345470
Gamdom ID 589812
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23827,
    "api_id": 15345470,
    "gamdom_id": 589812,
    "player1": "Linda Fruhvirtova",
    "player2": "Tereza Valentov\u00e1",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T06:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.7,
      "p2": 1.22
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.71,
      "p2": 1.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1369,
    "prob_p2": 0.8631,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8631,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 132,
      "utr_singles": 11.73,
      "utr_ranking": 173,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 54,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 81.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.73,
      "ranking": 173,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4388235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.4388235294117648,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4090909090909091,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -573,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.1999999999999886,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.38095238095239,
    "surface_wr_p2": 81.25,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 6,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8938178760220964,
    "rank_advantage": -78,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -28.869047619047613,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.799999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.34928571428572,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7272727272727273,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.044642857142857206,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.900000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.047619047619047616,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.276148386962167,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.494845016421846,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 25.803670825637898,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 75.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.70000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1018095238095238,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.23450000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.183333333333334,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}