Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wu
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 07:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yibing Wu
Eliot …: 36,3% Yibing …: 63,7%
¿Por qué Yibing Wu?
UTR 15,16 vs 15,13 (+0,03) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Eliot … Yibing … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 1,72 2,23 58,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,75 1,57 36,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Eliot …: -6,8% Yibing …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Yibing Wu
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #74
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 23/31 = 74,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 83,0000
rank_ratio 1,9765
log_rank_ratio 0,6813
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 378,0000
best_rank_diff -33,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -12,8299
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,0119
surface_matches_ratio 1,4194
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,3636
surface_wr_p2 74,1935
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,4167
surface_wr_p2_stable 71,4286
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2273
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,8794
first_serve_won_diff 0,3432
second_serve_won_diff -1,0523
bp_saved_diff -3,6591
bp_converted_diff -0,9750
aces_per_match_diff 1,0117
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,6000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9677
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7391
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 4,5100
serve_consistency_p2 3,9008
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -8,7412
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0306
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3249
elite_surface_amplifier -12,8299
UTR
utr_diff 0,0300
utr_p1 0,8424
utr_p2 0,8388
utr_advantage 0,1981
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23830
API ID 15345274
Gamdom ID 589703
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23830,
    "api_id": 15345274,
    "gamdom_id": 589703,
    "player1": "Eliot Spizzirri",
    "player2": "Yibing Wu",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T03:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3633,
    "prob_p2": 0.6367,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6367,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 15.13,
      "utr_ranking": 74,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.13,
      "ranking": 74,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8423529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.8388235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.02999999999999936,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9764705882352942,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 378,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.6590909090909207,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -27.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
    "surface_wr_p2": 74.19354838709677,
    "utr_advantage": 0.19808517662594496,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -33,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6813127229129425,
    "rank_advantage": 83,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -12.829912023460402,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.9750000000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.879369501466286,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.967741935483871,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0117302052785924,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.3431818181818187,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.510018158627185,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.9008229151641047,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -8.741182295437307,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.42857142857143,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.0522727272727224,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4193548387096775,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.5999999999999943,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -12.829912023460402,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.030636363636363684,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3249354838709676,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.011904761904766,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}