Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karen Khachanov
Karen …: 70,0% Nishesh …: 30,0%
¿Por qué Karen Khachanov?
UTR 15,58 vs 15,04 (+0,54) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karen … Nishesh … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,37 3,35 73,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,43 3,33 70,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Karen …: +4,4% Nishesh …: -4,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karen Khachanov
Ranking #18
UTR Rating 15,58 Pro
UTR Ranking #21
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 15/30 = 50,0%
Nishesh Basavareddy
Ranking #242
UTR Rating 15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #82
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/37 = 56,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 224,0000
rank_ratio 13,4444
log_rank_ratio 2,5986
rank_tier_advantage 4,0000
points_diff 2090,0000
best_rank_diff 91,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,7568
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,0976
surface_matches_ratio 0,8108
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 56,7568
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,0976
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,4627
first_serve_won_diff 5,2259
second_serve_won_diff -2,6930
bp_saved_diff 7,9065
bp_converted_diff -3,7757
aces_per_match_diff 3,8288
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -22,1700
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2081
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6471
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,6832
serve_consistency_p2 2,2411
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -17,5579
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2240
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2916
elite_surface_amplifier -27,0270
UTR
utr_diff 0,5400
utr_p1 0,8918
utr_p2 0,8282
utr_advantage 3,5271
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23831
API ID 15345262
Gamdom ID 589714
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23831,
    "api_id": 15345262,
    "gamdom_id": 589714,
    "player1": "Karen Khachanov",
    "player2": "Nishesh Basavareddy",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 3.35
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7,
    "prob_p2": 0.3,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 18,
      "utr_singles": 15.58,
      "utr_ranking": 21,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 242,
      "utr_singles": 15.04,
      "utr_ranking": 82,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.58,
      "ranking": 21,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.04,
      "ranking": 82,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8917647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.828235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.5400000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 13.444444444444445,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 2090,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.906486486486486,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -47.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.75675675675676,
    "utr_advantage": 3.5271064663618614,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 91,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.5985659682605218,
    "rank_advantage": 224,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.756756756756758,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.7756756756756786,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.46273873873875,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2081218274111676,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.8288288288288292,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 4,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.225945945945966,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.683200677765284,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.241071039650223,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -17.557878163922446,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.09756097560976,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.6929729729729743,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8108108108108109,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -22.169999999999987,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -27.02702702702703,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22399999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2915675675675675,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.09756097560976,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}