Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karen Khachanov
Karen …: 70,0%
Nishesh …: 30,0%
¿Por qué Karen Khachanov?
UTR 15,58 vs 15,04
(+0,54)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karen … | Nishesh … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,37 | 3,35 | 73,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,43 | 3,33 | 70,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Karen …: +4,4%
Nishesh …: -4,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karen Khachanov
Ranking
#18
UTR Rating
15,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#21
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
15/30 = 50,0%
Nishesh Basavareddy
Ranking
#242
UTR Rating
15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
21/37 = 56,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 224,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 13,4444 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,5986 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2090,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 91,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,7568 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,0976 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8108 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,0976 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,4627 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,2259 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,6930 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,9065 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,7757 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,8288 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -22,1700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2081 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6471 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6832 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,2411 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -17,5579 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2240 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2916 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -27,0270 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8282 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,5271 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23831
API ID
15345262
Gamdom ID
589714
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23831,
"api_id": 15345262,
"gamdom_id": 589714,
"player1": "Karen Khachanov",
"player2": "Nishesh Basavareddy",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.37,
"p2": 3.35
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7,
"prob_p2": 0.3,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 18,
"utr_singles": 15.58,
"utr_ranking": 21,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 242,
"utr_singles": 15.04,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 21,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.828235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.5400000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 13.444444444444445,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 2090,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.906486486486486,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -47.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.75675675675676,
"utr_advantage": 3.5271064663618614,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 91,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.5985659682605218,
"rank_advantage": 224,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.756756756756758,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.7756756756756786,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.46273873873875,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2081218274111676,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.8288288288288292,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.225945945945966,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.683200677765284,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.241071039650223,
"surface_rank_synergy": -17.557878163922446,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.09756097560976,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.6929729729729743,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8108108108108109,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -22.169999999999987,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -27.02702702702703,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22399999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2915675675675675,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.09756097560976,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}