Anna Kalinskaya vs Julia Grabher
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 06:30
22 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Kalinskaya
Anna …: 86,5%
Julia …: 13,5%
¿Por qué Anna Kalinskaya?
UTR 12,44 vs 11,89
(+0,55)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anna … | Julia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 5,00 | 85,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,09 | 8,80 | 91,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,16 | 7,41 | 86,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anna …: +5,5%
Julia …: -5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Julia Grabher
Ranking
#95
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#133
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
2/10 = 20,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 62,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8788 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0574 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 712,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 43,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 35,1724 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18,1818 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,9000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 28,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1034 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,4597 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,4600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,2600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,1600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2241 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,4750 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6489 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,1724 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2448 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8801 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 37,1902 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0103 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2380 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 35,1724 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5224 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4576 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,5212 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23832
API ID
15345429
Gamdom ID
589757
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23832,
"api_id": 15345429,
"gamdom_id": 589757,
"player1": "Anna Kalinskaya",
"player2": "Julia Grabher",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T02:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.17,
"p2": 5.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.09,
"p2": 8.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.09,
"p2": 7.28
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8651,
"prob_p2": 0.1349,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8651,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 12.44,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 95,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 133,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 20.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 28,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 133,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.45764705882352946,
"utr_diff": 0.5499999999999989,
"rank_ratio": 2.878787878787879,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 712,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.1600000000000037,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
"surface_wr_p2": 20.0,
"utr_advantage": 4.521167283189469,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 43,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0573693301340605,
"rank_advantage": 62,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 35.172413793103445,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.900000000000006,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.4597241379310333,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.648936170212766,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.1724137931034483,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.22413793103448265,
"combined_confidence": 0.7,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.460000000000008,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.2448035521942185,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.880090507582011,
"surface_rank_synergy": 37.19023161161178,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 28.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.260000000000005,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.9,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.474999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 35.172413793103445,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01027586206896558,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.23799999999999993,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.181818181818176,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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"feature_importance": {}
}