Anna Kalinskaya vs Julia Grabher
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Kalinskaya
Anna …: 86,5% Julia …: 13,5%
¿Por qué Anna Kalinskaya?
UTR 12,44 vs 11,89 (+0,55) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna … Julia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 5,00 85,5%
Gamdom 1,09 8,80 91,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,41 86,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna …: +5,5% Julia …: -5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/29 = 55,2%
Julia Grabher
Ranking #95
UTR Rating 11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #133
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 2/10 = 20,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 62,0000
rank_ratio 2,8788
log_rank_ratio 1,0574
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 712,0000
best_rank_diff 43,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 35,1724
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 18,1818
surface_matches_ratio 2,9000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,1724
surface_wr_p2 20,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,5455
surface_wr_p2_stable 28,5714
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1034
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,7000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,4597
first_serve_won_diff 1,4600
second_serve_won_diff 7,2600
bp_saved_diff 1,1600
bp_converted_diff 10,9000
aces_per_match_diff -0,2241
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 4,4750
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6489
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,1724
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2448
serve_consistency_p2 8,8801
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 37,1902
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0103
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2380
elite_surface_amplifier 35,1724
UTR
utr_diff 0,5500
utr_p1 0,5224
utr_p2 0,4576
utr_advantage 4,5212
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23832
API ID 15345429
Gamdom ID 589757
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23832,
    "api_id": 15345429,
    "gamdom_id": 589757,
    "player1": "Anna Kalinskaya",
    "player2": "Julia Grabher",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.17,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.09,
      "p2": 8.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.09,
      "p2": 7.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8651,
    "prob_p2": 0.1349,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8651,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 12.44,
      "utr_ranking": 28,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 95,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 133,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 20.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.44,
      "ranking": 28,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 133,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5223529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.45764705882352946,
    "utr_diff": 0.5499999999999989,
    "rank_ratio": 2.878787878787879,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 712,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.1600000000000037,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
    "surface_wr_p2": 20.0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.521167283189469,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 43,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0573693301340605,
    "rank_advantage": 62,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 35.172413793103445,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.900000000000006,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.4597241379310333,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.648936170212766,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.1724137931034483,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.22413793103448265,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.460000000000008,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.2448035521942185,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.880090507582011,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 37.19023161161178,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 28.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.260000000000005,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.9,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.474999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 35.172413793103445,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01027586206896558,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.23799999999999993,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.181818181818176,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}