Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweeny
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 05:45
22 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ben Shelton
Ben …: 86,8%
Dane …: 13,2%
¿Por qué Ben Shelton?
UTR 15,65 vs 14,51
(+1,14)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ben … | Dane … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,11 | 6,50 | 90,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,08 | 9,60 | 92,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,15 | 7,57 | 86,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ben …: +1,4%
Dane …: -1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ben Shelton
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
27/42 = 64,3%
Dane Sweeny
Ranking
#182
UTR Rating
14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
78% (9p)
WR Hard
8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 175,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 26,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,2581 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3675,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 176,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,9524 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,8089 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,0435 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,6316 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 21,0800 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,8857 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,6952 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 17,3143 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,8905 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 7,4143 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9777 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5517 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1232 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6161 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 35,6839 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0321 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2083 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 43,8095 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7659 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,5597 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23840
API ID
15345302
Gamdom ID
589749
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23840,
"api_id": 15345302,
"gamdom_id": 589749,
"player1": "Ben Shelton",
"player2": "Dane Sweeny",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T01:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.11,
"p2": 6.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 9.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 8.3
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8679,
"prob_p2": 0.1321,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8679,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 182,
"utr_singles": 14.51,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 1.1400000000000006,
"rank_ratio": 26.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 3675,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 17.31428571428571,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -37.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": 7.559681697612736,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 176,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.258096538021482,
"rank_advantage": 175,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5517241379310345,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.952380952380956,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.8904761904761926,
"p1_surface_matches": 42,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"serve_quality_diff": 21.08,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9776536312849162,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 7.414285714285715,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.885714285714286,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.123159206089497,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.616070476372525,
"surface_rank_synergy": 35.68391446404482,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.04347826086957,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.6952380952380963,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.8,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.949999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 43.809523809523824,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03214285714285714,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20833333333333337,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.808924485125864,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}