Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweeny
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ben Shelton
Ben …: 86,8% Dane …: 13,2%
¿Por qué Ben Shelton?
UTR 15,65 vs 14,51 (+1,14) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ben … Dane … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,11 6,50 90,1%
Gamdom 1,08 9,60 92,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,15 7,57 86,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Ben …: +1,4% Dane …: -1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ben Shelton
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 27/42 = 64,3%
Dane Sweeny
Ranking #182
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 78% (9p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 175,0000
rank_ratio 26,0000
log_rank_ratio 3,2581
rank_tier_advantage 4,0000
points_diff 3675,0000
best_rank_diff 176,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,9524
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,8089
surface_matches_ratio 2,8000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,2857
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,0435
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,6316
p1_surface_matches 42,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2857
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 21,0800
first_serve_won_diff 10,8857
second_serve_won_diff 2,6952
bp_saved_diff 17,3143
bp_converted_diff 2,8905
aces_per_match_diff 7,4143
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,9500
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9777
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5517
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,1232
serve_consistency_p2 4,6161
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 35,6839
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0321
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2083
elite_surface_amplifier 43,8095
UTR
utr_diff 1,1400
utr_p1 0,9000
utr_p2 0,7659
utr_advantage 7,5597
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23840
API ID 15345302
Gamdom ID 589749
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23840,
    "api_id": 15345302,
    "gamdom_id": 589749,
    "player1": "Ben Shelton",
    "player2": "Dane Sweeny",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T01:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.11,
      "p2": 6.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 9.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 8.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8679,
    "prob_p2": 0.1321,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8679,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 15.65,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 182,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.65,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9,
    "utr_p2": 0.7658823529411765,
    "utr_diff": 1.1400000000000006,
    "rank_ratio": 26.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 3675,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 17.31428571428571,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -37.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 7.559681697612736,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 176,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 3.258096538021482,
    "rank_advantage": 175,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5517241379310345,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.952380952380956,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.8904761904761926,
    "p1_surface_matches": 42,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": 21.08,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9776536312849162,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 7.414285714285715,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 4,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.885714285714286,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.123159206089497,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.616070476372525,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 35.68391446404482,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.04347826086957,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.6952380952380963,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.8,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.949999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 43.809523809523824,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03214285714285714,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20833333333333337,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.808924485125864,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}