Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinn
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 05:55
22 Ene 2026, 05:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert …: 52,2%
Ethan …: 47,8%
¿Por qué Hubert Hurkacz?
UTR 15,65 vs 14,94
(+0,71)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hubert … | Ethan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,28 | 3,75 | 78,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,27 | 4,10 | 78,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,92 | 2,09 | 52,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hubert …: -22,4%
Ethan …: +22,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/14 = 50,0%
Ethan Quinn
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#93
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/44 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4545 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3747 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 232,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 58,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,0909 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,1944 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3182 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13,2038 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,9260 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,8026 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,7727 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,6513 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,2500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 44,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,9750 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2167 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9189 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3846 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2663 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0178 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,4063 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0250 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1159 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8165 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,6420 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23841
API ID
15345305
Gamdom ID
589743
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23841,
"api_id": 15345305,
"gamdom_id": 589743,
"player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
"player2": "Ethan Quinn",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T01:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 4.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.93
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5219,
"prob_p2": 0.4781,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5219,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 14.94,
"utr_ranking": 93,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 93,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8164705882352941,
"utr_diff": 0.7100000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 1.4545454545454546,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 232,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.772727272727266,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 43.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.09090909090909,
"utr_advantage": 4.642039882314488,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 58,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3746934494414107,
"rank_advantage": 25,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.38461538461538464,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.090909090909093,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.651298701298707,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.203766233766231,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2166666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.918918918918919,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.25,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.925974025974014,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.266286671565463,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.017806088050014,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.406304085831007,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.8025974025974065,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3181818181818182,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.974999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.025000000000000022,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11590909090909096,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.194444444444446,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}