Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinn
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 05:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert …: 52,2% Ethan …: 47,8%
¿Por qué Hubert Hurkacz?
UTR 15,65 vs 14,94 (+0,71) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hubert … Ethan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,28 3,75 78,1%
Gamdom 1,27 4,10 78,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,92 2,09 52,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Hubert …: -22,4% Ethan …: +22,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 7/14 = 50,0%
Ethan Quinn
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #93
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/44 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 25,0000
rank_ratio 1,4545
log_rank_ratio 0,3747
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 232,0000
best_rank_diff 58,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,0909
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,1944
surface_matches_ratio 0,3182
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 59,0909
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,3333
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 44,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 13,2038
first_serve_won_diff 4,9260
second_serve_won_diff 0,8026
bp_saved_diff 5,7727
bp_converted_diff -8,6513
aces_per_match_diff 5,2500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 44,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 25,9750
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2167
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9189
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3846
serve_consistency_p1 5,2663
serve_consistency_p2 10,0178
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,4063
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0250
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1159
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7100
utr_p1 0,9000
utr_p2 0,8165
utr_advantage 4,6420
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23841
API ID 15345305
Gamdom ID 589743
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23841,
    "api_id": 15345305,
    "gamdom_id": 589743,
    "player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
    "player2": "Ethan Quinn",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T01:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 4.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.93
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5219,
    "prob_p2": 0.4781,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5219,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 15.65,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 14.94,
      "utr_ranking": 93,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.65,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.94,
      "ranking": 93,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8164705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.7100000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4545454545454546,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 232,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.772727272727266,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 43.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.09090909090909,
    "utr_advantage": 4.642039882314488,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 58,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3746934494414107,
    "rank_advantage": 25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.38461538461538464,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.090909090909093,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.651298701298707,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "serve_quality_diff": 13.203766233766231,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2166666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.918918918918919,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.25,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.925974025974014,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.266286671565463,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.017806088050014,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.406304085831007,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.8025974025974065,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3181818181818182,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 25.974999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.025000000000000022,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11590909090909096,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.194444444444446,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}