Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Jakub …: 65,0% Rafael …: 35,0%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jakub … Rafael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,55 2,60 64,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,86 65,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Jakub …: -0,6% Rafael …: +0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jakub Mensik
Ranking #17
UTR Rating 15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #37
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Rafael Jodar
Ranking #150
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 22/30 = 73,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 133,0000
rank_ratio 8,8235
log_rank_ratio 2,1774
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1927,0000
best_rank_diff 134,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,8333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,4771
surface_matches_ratio 1,0667
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 73,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 70,5882
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 22,0871
first_serve_won_diff 7,1625
second_serve_won_diff -3,6750
bp_saved_diff 9,7750
bp_converted_diff -12,1000
aces_per_match_diff 9,8042
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1710
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6190
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 7,6085
serve_consistency_p2 4,1406
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -23,5887
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0080
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3663
elite_surface_amplifier -32,5000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8706
utr_p2 0,8706
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23842
API ID 15345245
Gamdom ID 589747
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23842,
    "api_id": 15345245,
    "gamdom_id": 589747,
    "player1": "Jakub Mensik",
    "player2": "Rafael Jodar",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.5
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.65,
    "prob_p2": 0.35,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.65,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 17,
      "utr_singles": 15.4,
      "utr_ranking": 37,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.4,
      "ranking": 37,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8705882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.8705882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 8.823529411764707,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 1927,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.774999999999991,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 73.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 134,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.17742195004004,
    "rank_advantage": 133,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6190476190476191,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.833333333333329,
    "bp_converted_diff": -12.099999999999998,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": 22.087083333333332,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1709844559585492,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 9.804166666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.162499999999994,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.60853131282552,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.140618142123001,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -23.58873779210042,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.58823529411765,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.6750000000000043,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -32.499999999999986,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.008000000000000007,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3663333333333333,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.477124183006538,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}