Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
22 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Jakub …: 65,0%
Rafael …: 35,0%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jakub … | Rafael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,55 | 2,60 | 64,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,86 | 65,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jakub …: -0,6%
Rafael …: +0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jakub Mensik
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#37
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Rafael Jodar
Ranking
#150
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
22/30 = 73,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 133,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 8,8235 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,1774 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1927,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 134,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,8333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,4771 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 73,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,5882 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 22,0871 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,1625 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,6750 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,7750 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 9,8042 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1710 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6190 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,6085 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,1406 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -23,5887 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0080 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3663 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -32,5000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8706 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23842
API ID
15345245
Gamdom ID
589747
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23842,
"api_id": 15345245,
"gamdom_id": 589747,
"player1": "Jakub Mensik",
"player2": "Rafael Jodar",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.55,
"p2": 2.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.5
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.65,
"prob_p2": 0.35,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.65,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 15.4,
"utr_ranking": 37,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.4,
"ranking": 37,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8705882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.8705882352941177,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 8.823529411764707,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 1927,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.774999999999991,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 73.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 134,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.17742195004004,
"rank_advantage": 133,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6190476190476191,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.833333333333329,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.099999999999998,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": 22.087083333333332,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1709844559585492,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 9.804166666666667,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.162499999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.60853131282552,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.140618142123001,
"surface_rank_synergy": -23.58873779210042,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.58823529411765,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.6750000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -32.499999999999986,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.008000000000000007,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3663333333333333,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.477124183006538,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}