James Duckworth vs Jannik Sinner
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 12:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jannik Sinner
James …: 9,1% Jannik …: 90,9%
¿Por qué Jannik Sinner?
UTR 14,78 vs 16,39 (-1,61) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente James … Jannik … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 41,00 1,00 2,4%
Gamdom 26,00 1,01 3,8%
IA Fair Odds 10,98 1,10 9,1%
Edge vs Mercado: James …: +6,7% Jannik …: -6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
James Duckworth
Ranking #88
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #119
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 29/50 = 58,0%
Jannik Sinner
Ranking #2
UTR Rating 16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #1
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 39/42 = 92,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -86,0000
rank_ratio 0,0227
log_rank_ratio -3,7842
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -10806,0000
best_rank_diff -45,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -34,8571
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -31,7230
surface_matches_ratio 1,1905
surface_tournaments_won_diff -5,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,0000
surface_wr_p2 92,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,4074
surface_wr_p2_stable 89,1304
p1_surface_matches 50,0000
p2_surface_matches 42,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1600
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,6498
first_serve_won_diff -7,6571
second_serve_won_diff -5,2454
bp_saved_diff -8,2486
bp_converted_diff -10,8811
aces_per_match_diff 0,3762
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -30,1000
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5349
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0758
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,4533
serve_consistency_p2 1,7130
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 131,9060
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1660
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3426
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,6100
utr_p1 0,7976
utr_p2 0,9871
utr_advantage -10,3304
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23843
API ID 15345268
Gamdom ID 589721
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23843,
    "api_id": 15345268,
    "gamdom_id": 589721,
    "player1": "James Duckworth",
    "player2": "Jannik Sinner",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T08:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 41.0,
      "p2": 1.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 26.0,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 26.54,
      "p2": 1.01
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.0911,
    "prob_p2": 0.9089,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9089,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 88,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 119,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.99999999999999,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 2,
      "utr_singles": 16.39,
      "utr_ranking": 1,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 92.85714285714286,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 119,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 16.39,
      "ranking": 1,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7976470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.9870588235294119,
    "utr_diff": -1.6100000000000012,
    "rank_ratio": 0.022727272727272728,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -10806,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.248571428571424,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -49.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "surface_wr_p2": 92.85714285714286,
    "utr_advantage": -10.330445941610531,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -45,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -3.784189633918261,
    "rank_advantage": -86,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -34.85714285714287,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.881142857142848,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 42,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.649819047619047,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5348837209302325,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.075801749271137,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.37619047619047663,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.657142857142858,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.16,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.453303668281723,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.7129526590562476,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 131.906038668008,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.407407407407405,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 89.13043478260869,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.245428571428569,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1904761904761905,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -30.099999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16599999999999993,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.34257142857142864,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -31.723027375201283,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -5
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}