James Duckworth vs Jannik Sinner
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 12:15
22 Ene 2026, 12:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jannik Sinner
James …: 9,1%
Jannik …: 90,9%
¿Por qué Jannik Sinner?
UTR 14,78 vs 16,39
(-1,61)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | James … | Jannik … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 41,00 | 1,00 | 2,4% |
| Gamdom | 26,00 | 1,01 | 3,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 10,98 | 1,10 | 9,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
James …: +6,7%
Jannik …: -6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
James Duckworth
Ranking
#88
UTR Rating
14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#119
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
29/50 = 58,0%
Jannik Sinner
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
39/42 = 92,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -86,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0227 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,7842 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -10806,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -45,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -34,8571 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -31,7230 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1905 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 92,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,4074 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 89,1304 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1600 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,6498 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,6571 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,2454 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,2486 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,8811 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3762 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -30,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5349 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0758 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4533 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,7130 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 131,9060 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1660 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3426 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,6100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9871 | |
| utr_advantage | -10,3304 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23843
API ID
15345268
Gamdom ID
589721
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23843,
"api_id": 15345268,
"gamdom_id": 589721,
"player1": "James Duckworth",
"player2": "Jannik Sinner",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T08:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 41.0,
"p2": 1.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 26.0,
"p2": 1.01
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 26.54,
"p2": 1.01
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.0911,
"prob_p2": 0.9089,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.9089,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.78,
"utr_ranking": 119,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.99999999999999,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 16.39,
"utr_ranking": 1,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
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"wr_surface": 92.85714285714286,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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},
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"ranking": 1,
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"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -10806,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.248571428571424,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -49.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.99999999999999,
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"utr_advantage": -10.330445941610531,
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"best_rank_diff": -45,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.784189633918261,
"rank_advantage": -86,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -34.85714285714287,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.881142857142848,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 42,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.649819047619047,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5348837209302325,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.075801749271137,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.37619047619047663,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.657142857142858,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.453303668281723,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.7129526590562476,
"surface_rank_synergy": 131.906038668008,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.407407407407405,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 89.13043478260869,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.245428571428569,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1904761904761905,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -30.099999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16599999999999993,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.34257142857142864,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -31.723027375201283,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -5
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"feature_importance": {}
}