Maddison Inglis vs Laura Siegemund
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Laura Siegemund
Maddison …: 29,8% Laura …: 70,2%
¿Por qué Laura Siegemund?
UTR 11,73 vs 12,14 (-0,41) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maddison … Laura … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 2,24 1,71 44,6%
IA Fair Odds 3,35 1,43 29,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Maddison …: -20,2% Laura …: +20,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maddison Inglis
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #173
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 18/33 = 54,5%
Laura Siegemund
Ranking #48
UTR Rating 12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #67
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -120,0000
rank_ratio 0,2857
log_rank_ratio -1,2528
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -753,0000
best_rank_diff -85,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,5455
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,2967
surface_matches_ratio 1,3200
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,5455
surface_wr_p2 48,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,0541
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,2759
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,9167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,4476
first_serve_won_diff 9,1000
second_serve_won_diff 3,8000
bp_saved_diff 0,9000
bp_converted_diff 2,1000
aces_per_match_diff 1,8788
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,1800
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7102
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 6,2741
serve_consistency_p2 8,9371
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -8,1999
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1655
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1400
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4100
utr_p1 0,4388
utr_p2 0,4871
utr_advantage -3,4353
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23847
API ID 15345427
Gamdom ID 589799
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23847,
    "api_id": 15345427,
    "gamdom_id": 589799,
    "player1": "Maddison Inglis",
    "player2": "Laura Siegemund",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-22T02:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.24,
      "p2": 1.71
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.22,
      "p2": 1.65
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2985,
    "prob_p2": 0.7015,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7015,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 11.73,
      "utr_ranking": 173,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 48,
      "utr_singles": 12.14,
      "utr_ranking": 67,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 173,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 67,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2857142857142857,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -753,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.8999999999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 47.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
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    "utr_advantage": -3.4352744030163396,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.252762968495368,
    "rank_advantage": -120,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.54545454545454,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.1000000000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.447575757575763,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7102272727272727,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.878787878787879,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.100000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.274103250668946,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.937144470428562,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -8.199903066515128,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.054054054054056,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.275862068965516,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.799999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.32,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1654545454545454,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.296675986331161,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}