Nikola Bartunkova vs Belinda Bencic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
22 Ene 2026, 13:30
22 Ene 2026, 13:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Belinda Bencic
Nikola …: 9,5%
Belinda …: 90,5%
¿Por qué Belinda Bencic?
UTR 11,99 vs 12,48
(-0,49)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nikola … | Belinda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,50 | 1,11 | 15,4% |
| Gamdom | 9,80 | 1,08 | 10,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 10,56 | 1,10 | 9,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nikola …: -5,1%
Belinda …: +5,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikola Bartunkova
Ranking
#126
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
5/9 = 55,6%
Belinda Bencic
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#23
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
30/41 = 73,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -116,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0794 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,5337 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2930,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -122,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17,6152 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,1368 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2195 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 73,1707 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,0171 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 71,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,8968 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,3889 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,5778 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,5556 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,1222 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,3089 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7130 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,1765 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,1244 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 44,6315 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1716 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1157 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,0049 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23849
API ID
15345467
Gamdom ID
589790
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23849,
"api_id": 15345467,
"gamdom_id": 589790,
"player1": "Nikola Bartunkova",
"player2": "Belinda Bencic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-22T09:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.5,
"p2": 1.11
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 9.8,
"p2": 1.08
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 8.6,
"p2": 1.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.0947,
"prob_p2": 0.9053,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.9053,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 126,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 102,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 23,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 102,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 23,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_diff": -0.4900000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.07936507936507936,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -2930,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.5555555555555429,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 73.17073170731707,
"utr_advantage": -4.004903964037599,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -122,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.5336968139574325,
"rank_advantage": -116,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -17.615176151761517,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.122222222222227,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.8967750677506814,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7130434782608696,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.3089430894308944,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -4,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.3888888888888786,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.176515928640272,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.124398456292095,
"surface_rank_synergy": 44.6315156930171,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.01709401709402,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.11111111111111,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.577777777777783,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.21951219512195122,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17155555555555557,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11570731707317072,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.136752136752138,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}