Elina Svitolina vs Diana Shnaider
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 12:10
23 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elina Svitolina
Elina …: 70,7%
Diana …: 29,3%
¿Por qué Elina Svitolina?
UTR 12,66 vs 12,43
(+0,23)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elina … | Diana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,52 | 2,70 | 65,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,42 | 3,41 | 70,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elina …: +13,8%
Diana …: -13,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elina Svitolina
Ranking
#12
UTR Rating
12,66 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
17/27 = 63,0%
Diana Shnaider
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6061 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 903,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,3501 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,3687 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8710 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,9630 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,2903 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2593 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,2767 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,8741 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,1889 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,1259 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8148 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9645 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8855 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4375 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2789 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,1839 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,8797 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1196 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0261 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 11,3501 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5212 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,8334 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23872
API ID
15345437
Gamdom ID
589793
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23872,
"api_id": 15345437,
"gamdom_id": 589793,
"player1": "Elina Svitolina",
"player2": "Diana Shnaider",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-23T08:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.58
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7066,
"prob_p2": 0.2934,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7066,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 12,
"utr_singles": 12.66,
"utr_ranking": 9,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.96296296296296,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 9,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5211764705882352,
"utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
"rank_ratio": 1.8333333333333333,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 903,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.18888888888889,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": 19.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.96296296296296,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
"utr_advantage": 1.8333997608609043,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 8,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6061358035703155,
"rank_advantage": 10,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.350059737156514,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.12592592592591956,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.276666666666678,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9645390070921985,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8854961832061069,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8148148148148149,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.87407407407408,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25925925925925924,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.278865905793624,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.183865661450845,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.879677579352447,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.29032258064516,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.299999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8709677419354839,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.549999999999983,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 11.350059737156514,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11962962962962964,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02612903225806451,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.36866359447005,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}