Zeynep Sönmez vs Yulia Putintseva
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 06:35
23 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yulia Putintseva
Zeynep …: 45,7%
Yulia …: 54,3%
¿Por qué Yulia Putintseva?
UTR 12,11 vs 12,00
(+0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Zeynep … | Yulia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,19 | 1,72 | 45,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,19 | 1,84 | 45,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Zeynep …: -4,3%
Yulia …: +4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zeynep Sönmez
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking
#94
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
15/32 = 46,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -18,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8393 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1752 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -105,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -49,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,6098 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,4264 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0313 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,8750 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,6486 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,1079 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,6230 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,7037 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,0203 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0435 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6458 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,1300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6019 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5574 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,0235 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3061 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,2821 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0028 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0493 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,9125 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23873
API ID
15345446
Gamdom ID
589808
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23873,
"api_id": 15345446,
"gamdom_id": 589808,
"player1": "Zeynep S\u00f6nmez",
"player2": "Yulia Putintseva",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-23T02:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.19,
"p2": 1.72
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.08,
"p2": 1.74
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4574,
"prob_p2": 0.5426,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5426,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 112,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 94,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 0.8392857142857143,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -105,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.0202651515151544,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": 19.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.875,
"utr_advantage": 0.9124844462878426,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -49,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.17520408902509063,
"rank_advantage": -18,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.6098484848484844,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.043465909090905086,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.10793560606060026,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6018518518518519,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5573770491803278,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6458333333333334,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.6230113636363654,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.023501466679975,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.306074545303279,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.2820520372563011,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.703693181818174,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.03125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.12999999999999545,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.002848484848484878,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.049250000000000016,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.4264264264264312,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}