Learner Tien vs Nuno Borges
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 04:00
23 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 66,6%
Nuno …: 33,4%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 15,18
(+0,39)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Learner … | Nuno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,50 | 65,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,48 | 2,85 | 67,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,50 | 2,99 | 66,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Learner …: +4,6%
Nuno …: -4,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
35/50 = 70,0%
Nuno Borges
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#64
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
18/35 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5862 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4613 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 470,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,2365 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,5185 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,2821 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,6487 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3117 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,8554 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,4791 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0114 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7193 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9825 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,5204 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,5678 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1830 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0313 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8447 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,5366 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23876
API ID
15345261
Gamdom ID
589700
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23876,
"api_id": 15345261,
"gamdom_id": 589700,
"player1": "Learner Tien",
"player2": "Nuno Borges",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-23T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.48,
"p2": 2.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.83
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.666,
"prob_p2": 0.334,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.666,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 15.57,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 64,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.57,
"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.18,
"ranking": 64,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8447058823529412,
"utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 1.5862068965517242,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 470,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.8554285714285683,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.42857142857142,
"utr_advantage": 2.536585365853662,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.461345566502621,
"rank_advantage": 17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.571428571428577,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.479142857142861,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.6487142857142842,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7192982456140351,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0114285714285716,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.31171428571428805,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.982542343337246,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.5204016599817165,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.567846235048679,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.51851851851852,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.28205128205128,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.099999999999994,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4285714285714286,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18299999999999994,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03128571428571425,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.23646723646724,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}