Learner Tien vs Nuno Borges
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 66,6% Nuno …: 33,4%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 15,18 (+0,39) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Learner … Nuno … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,50 65,4%
Gamdom 1,48 2,85 67,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,50 2,99 66,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Learner …: +4,6% Nuno …: -4,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 35/50 = 70,0%
Nuno Borges
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 18/35 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 17,0000
rank_ratio 1,5862
log_rank_ratio 0,4613
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 470,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 17,2365
surface_matches_ratio 1,4286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,0000
surface_wr_p2 51,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,5185
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,2821
p1_surface_matches 50,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,6487
first_serve_won_diff -0,3117
second_serve_won_diff 5,1000
bp_saved_diff -1,8554
bp_converted_diff 7,4791
aces_per_match_diff -1,0114
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7193
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 6,9825
serve_consistency_p2 2,5204
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,5678
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1830
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0313
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3900
utr_p1 0,8906
utr_p2 0,8447
utr_advantage 2,5366
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23876
API ID 15345261
Gamdom ID 589700
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23876,
    "api_id": 15345261,
    "gamdom_id": 589700,
    "player1": "Learner Tien",
    "player2": "Nuno Borges",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-23T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.83
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.666,
    "prob_p2": 0.334,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.666,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 64,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.18,
      "ranking": 64,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8447058823529412,
    "utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5862068965517242,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 470,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.8554285714285683,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.42857142857142,
    "utr_advantage": 2.536585365853662,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.461345566502621,
    "rank_advantage": 17,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 18.571428571428577,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.479142857142861,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.6487142857142842,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7192982456140351,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0114285714285716,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.31171428571428805,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.982542343337246,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.5204016599817165,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.567846235048679,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.51851851851852,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.28205128205128,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.099999999999994,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4285714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18299999999999994,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03128571428571425,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.23646723646724,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}