Coco Gauff vs Hailey Baptiste
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 08:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 83,3% Hailey …: 16,8%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,03 (+0,74) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coco … Hailey … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,06 10,00 94,3%
Gamdom 1,08 9,40 92,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,20 5,97 83,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Coco …: -7,2% Hailey …: +7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/36 = 69,4%
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking #70
UTR Rating 12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #84
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/26 = 46,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 67,0000
rank_ratio 23,3333
log_rank_ratio 3,1499
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 5444,0000
best_rank_diff 45,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 23,2906
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 19,4444
surface_matches_ratio 1,3846
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,4444
surface_wr_p2 46,1538
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,6667
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3889
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,6275
first_serve_won_diff 0,4500
second_serve_won_diff 4,4045
bp_saved_diff -7,7904
bp_converted_diff 10,6359
aces_per_match_diff -0,4594
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 19,5840
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6339
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 7,3273
serve_consistency_p2 8,9240
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 73,3627
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1274
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0285
elite_surface_amplifier 69,8718
UTR
utr_diff 0,7400
utr_p1 0,5612
utr_p2 0,4741
utr_advantage 5,9677
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23879
API ID 15345447
Gamdom ID 589787
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23879,
    "api_id": 15345447,
    "gamdom_id": 589787,
    "player1": "Coco Gauff",
    "player2": "Hailey Baptiste",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-23T04:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.06,
      "p2": 10.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 9.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.07,
      "p2": 8.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8325,
    "prob_p2": 0.1675,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8325,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 12.77,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 70,
      "utr_singles": 12.03,
      "utr_ranking": 84,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 84,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
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  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.7400000000000002,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 5444,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.790384615384625,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 10.63589743589744,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 0.6275427350427378,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6339285714285714,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.45940170940170955,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.45000000000000284,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.327266794080735,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.923969478943809,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 73.36265852960602,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12744444444444447,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.444444444444446,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}