Coco Gauff vs Hailey Baptiste
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 08:45
23 Ene 2026, 08:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 83,3%
Hailey …: 16,8%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,03
(+0,74)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Coco … | Hailey … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,06 | 10,00 | 94,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,08 | 9,40 | 92,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,20 | 5,97 | 83,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Coco …: -7,2%
Hailey …: +7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
25/36 = 69,4%
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking
#70
UTR Rating
12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/26 = 46,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 67,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 23,3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,1499 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 5444,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 45,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 23,2906 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19,4444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3846 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3889 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,6275 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,4500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,4045 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,7904 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,6359 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4594 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19,5840 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6609 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6339 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,3273 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,9240 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 73,3627 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1274 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0285 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 69,8718 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,9677 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23879
API ID
15345447
Gamdom ID
589787
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23879,
"api_id": 15345447,
"gamdom_id": 589787,
"player1": "Coco Gauff",
"player2": "Hailey Baptiste",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-23T04:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.06,
"p2": 10.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 9.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.07,
"p2": 8.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8325,
"prob_p2": 0.1675,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8325,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 12.77,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 70,
"utr_singles": 12.03,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.7400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 23.333333333333332,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 5444,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.790384615384625,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.15384615384615,
"utr_advantage": 5.967741935483874,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 45,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.1498829533812494,
"rank_advantage": 67,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 23.29059829059829,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.63589743589744,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.6275427350427378,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6339285714285714,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.45940170940170955,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.45000000000000284,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.327266794080735,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.923969478943809,
"surface_rank_synergy": 73.36265852960602,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.404487179487184,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3846153846153846,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.584000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 69.87179487179486,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12744444444444447,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.028538461538461457,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.444444444444446,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}