Victoria Mboko vs Clara Tauson
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 55,7% Clara …: 44,3%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
UTR 12,62 vs 12,39 (+0,23) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Victoria … Clara … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,30 61,7%
Gamdom 1,54 2,65 64,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,79 2,26 55,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Victoria …: -2,9% Clara …: +2,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #13
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/26 = 76,9%
Clara Tauson
Ranking #14
UTR Rating 12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #34
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/37 = 64,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2,0000
rank_ratio 0,8750
log_rank_ratio -0,1335
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -83,0000
best_rank_diff -5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,0582
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,2575
surface_matches_ratio 0,7027
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 76,9231
surface_wr_p2 64,8649
surface_wr_p1_stable 73,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,4146
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5385
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,9719
first_serve_won_diff -1,8644
second_serve_won_diff 4,5732
bp_saved_diff 0,3861
bp_converted_diff 8,3726
aces_per_match_diff -0,7058
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12,7610
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1304
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5263
serve_consistency_p1 11,2744
serve_consistency_p2 8,8784
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,6101
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2712
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1466
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2300
utr_p1 0,5435
utr_p2 0,5165
utr_advantage 1,8393
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23880
API ID 15345443
Gamdom ID 589791
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23880,
    "api_id": 15345443,
    "gamdom_id": 589791,
    "player1": "Victoria Mboko",
    "player2": "Clara Tauson",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-23T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5574,
    "prob_p2": 0.4426,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5574,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 13,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 14,
      "utr_singles": 12.39,
      "utr_ranking": 34,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.86486486486487,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.62,
      "ranking": 13,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.39,
      "ranking": 34,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5164705882352942,
    "utr_diff": 0.22999999999999865,
    "rank_ratio": 0.875,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -83,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.3860706860706884,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.86486486486487,
    "utr_advantage": 1.8392642942822766,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.13353139262452263,
    "rank_advantage": -2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.058212058212064,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.372557172557173,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.97191268191267,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1304347826086956,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.7058212058212057,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.8644490644490475,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.274356350191843,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.878445537935464,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.6101498486948682,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.41463414634146,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.573180873180874,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7027027027027027,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 12.76100000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2712307692307694,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14664864864864868,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.257452574525741,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}