Victoria Mboko vs Clara Tauson
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 04:00
23 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 55,7%
Clara …: 44,3%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
UTR 12,62 vs 12,39
(+0,23)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Victoria … | Clara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,54 | 2,65 | 64,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,79 | 2,26 | 55,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Victoria …: -2,9%
Clara …: +2,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
20/26 = 76,9%
Clara Tauson
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#34
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/37 = 64,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1335 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -83,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,0582 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,2575 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7027 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 76,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,8649 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 73,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,4146 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5385 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,9719 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,8644 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,5732 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,3861 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,3726 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,7058 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,7610 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1304 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,2744 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8784 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,6101 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2712 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1466 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5165 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,8393 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23880
API ID
15345443
Gamdom ID
589791
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23880,
"api_id": 15345443,
"gamdom_id": 589791,
"player1": "Victoria Mboko",
"player2": "Clara Tauson",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-23T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5574,
"prob_p2": 0.4426,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5574,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 14,
"utr_singles": 12.39,
"utr_ranking": 34,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.86486486486487,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.62,
"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 34,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5164705882352942,
"utr_diff": 0.22999999999999865,
"rank_ratio": 0.875,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -83,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.3860706860706884,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.86486486486487,
"utr_advantage": 1.8392642942822766,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13353139262452263,
"rank_advantage": -2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.058212058212064,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.372557172557173,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.97191268191267,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1304347826086956,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.7058212058212057,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.8644490644490475,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.274356350191843,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.878445537935464,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.6101498486948682,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.41463414634146,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.573180873180874,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7027027027027027,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.76100000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2712307692307694,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14664864864864868,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.257452574525741,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}