Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 14:05
23 Ene 2026, 14:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Bublik
Alexander …: 65,0%
Tomas …: 35,0%
¿Por qué Alexander Bublik?
UTR 15,95 vs 15,29
(+0,66)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Tomas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,24 | 4,50 | 80,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,86 | 65,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -11,2%
Tomas …: +11,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
15,95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
20/36 = 55,6%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#52
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/26 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 52,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,2000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8245 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2170,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,7094 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,5556 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3846 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14,8529 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,3957 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,1949 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,3329 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,4812 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,5983 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,0200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9655 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0407 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2857 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5752 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,0653 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,1189 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0036 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0905 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 5,1282 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8576 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,2254 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23885
API ID
15345267
Gamdom ID
589719
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23885,
"api_id": 15345267,
"gamdom_id": 589719,
"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Tomas Martin Etcheverry",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-23T10:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 4.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.2
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.65,
"prob_p2": 0.35,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.65,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 15.95,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 62,
"utr_singles": 15.29,
"utr_ranking": 52,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 4,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 52,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8576470588235293,
"utr_diff": 0.6600000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 6.2,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 2170,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.332905982905984,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_advantage": 4.225352112676058,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.824549292051046,
"rank_advantage": 52,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.7094017094017104,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.4811965811965777,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.852905982905966,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9655172413793104,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0406504065040652,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.598290598290599,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.395726495726478,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.575206653401903,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.065339847457077,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.1188876787197386,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.1948717948718013,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3846153846153846,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.019999999999982,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 5.128205128205131,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.003555555555555534,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09046153846153848,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.55555555555556,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}