Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 14:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Bublik
Alexander …: 65,0% Tomas …: 35,0%
¿Por qué Alexander Bublik?
UTR 15,95 vs 15,29 (+0,66) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Tomas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,24 4,50 80,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,86 65,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -11,2% Tomas …: +11,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 15,95 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/36 = 55,6%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #52
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 52,0000
rank_ratio 6,2000
log_rank_ratio 1,8245
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 2170,0000
best_rank_diff 17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,7094
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,5556
surface_matches_ratio 1,3846
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 53,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 14,8529
first_serve_won_diff 5,3957
second_serve_won_diff 3,1949
bp_saved_diff 6,3329
bp_converted_diff -1,4812
aces_per_match_diff 5,5983
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 11,0200
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9655
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0407
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2857
serve_consistency_p1 4,5752
serve_consistency_p2 8,0653
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,1189
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0036
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0905
elite_surface_amplifier 5,1282
UTR
utr_diff 0,6600
utr_p1 0,9353
utr_p2 0,8576
utr_advantage 4,2254
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23885
API ID 15345267
Gamdom ID 589719
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23885,
    "api_id": 15345267,
    "gamdom_id": 589719,
    "player1": "Alexander Bublik",
    "player2": "Tomas Martin Etcheverry",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-23T10:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.2
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.65,
    "prob_p2": 0.35,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.65,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 10,
      "utr_singles": 15.95,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 15.29,
      "utr_ranking": 52,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.95,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.29,
      "ranking": 52,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8576470588235293,
    "utr_diff": 0.6600000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 6.2,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 2170,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.332905982905984,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
    "utr_advantage": 4.225352112676058,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.824549292051046,
    "rank_advantage": 52,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.7094017094017104,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.4811965811965777,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 14.852905982905966,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9655172413793104,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0406504065040652,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.598290598290599,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.395726495726478,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.575206653401903,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.065339847457077,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.1188876787197386,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.1948717948718013,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3846153846153846,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 11.019999999999982,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 5.128205128205131,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.003555555555555534,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09046153846153848,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.55555555555556,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}