Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 12:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 77,0% Cameron …: 23,0%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,38 (+0,36) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Cameron … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,33 82,0%
Gamdom 1,22 4,80 82,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,30 4,35 77,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -1,0% Cameron …: +1,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 32/45 = 71,1%
Cameron Norrie
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/37 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 24,0000
rank_ratio 9,0000
log_rank_ratio 2,1972
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 3552,0000
best_rank_diff 6,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,7598
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 18,1682
surface_matches_ratio 1,2162
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,1111
surface_wr_p2 51,3514
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,3878
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,2195
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4222
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,9421
first_serve_won_diff -1,0665
second_serve_won_diff 0,6557
bp_saved_diff -1,0236
bp_converted_diff 3,9332
aces_per_match_diff 2,1393
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,9910
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0182
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0068
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4348
serve_consistency_p1 9,4115
serve_consistency_p2 8,3741
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 43,4166
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1871
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0375
elite_surface_amplifier 39,5195
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,9106
utr_p2 0,8682
utr_advantage 2,3136
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23886
API ID 15345244
Gamdom ID 589735
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23886,
    "api_id": 15345244,
    "gamdom_id": 589735,
    "player1": "Alexander Zverev",
    "player2": "Cameron Norrie",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-23T08:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.77,
    "prob_p2": 0.23,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.77,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 15.74,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 15.38,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.74,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.38,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 9.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 3552,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.023603603603604,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.35135135135135,
    "utr_advantage": 2.3136246786632353,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 6,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.1972245773362196,
    "rank_advantage": 24,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.759759759759767,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.9331531531531496,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.9421381381381337,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0068493150684932,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.1393393393393394,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.0664864864864825,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.411477450473681,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.374053240718194,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 43.41662978640339,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.21951219512195,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.6556756756756741,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2162162162162162,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.9909999999999854,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 39.519519519519534,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18711111111111112,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03751351351351351,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.168242906918863,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}