Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 12:20
23 Ene 2026, 12:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 77,0%
Cameron …: 23,0%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,38
(+0,36)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Cameron … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,33 | 82,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,22 | 4,80 | 82,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,30 | 4,35 | 77,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -1,0%
Cameron …: +1,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
32/45 = 71,1%
Cameron Norrie
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/37 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 24,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 9,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,1972 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3552,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19,7598 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18,1682 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2162 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,3878 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,2195 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,9421 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,0665 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,6557 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,0236 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,9332 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,1393 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,9910 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0182 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0068 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4115 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,3741 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 43,4166 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1871 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0375 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 39,5195 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9106 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8682 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,3136 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23886
API ID
15345244
Gamdom ID
589735
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23886,
"api_id": 15345244,
"gamdom_id": 589735,
"player1": "Alexander Zverev",
"player2": "Cameron Norrie",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-23T08:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.33
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.77,
"prob_p2": 0.23,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.77,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 15.74,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 15.38,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 10,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 9.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 3552,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.023603603603604,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.35135135135135,
"utr_advantage": 2.3136246786632353,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 6,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.1972245773362196,
"rank_advantage": 24,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.759759759759767,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.9331531531531496,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.9421381381381337,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0068493150684932,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.1393393393393394,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.0664864864864825,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.411477450473681,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.374053240718194,
"surface_rank_synergy": 43.41662978640339,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.21951219512195,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.6556756756756741,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2162162162162162,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.9909999999999854,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 39.519519519519534,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18711111111111112,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03751351351351351,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.168242906918863,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}