Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Mirra Andreeva
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
23 Ene 2026, 15:20
23 Ene 2026, 15:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Elena-Gabriela …: 13,4%
Mirra …: 86,6%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,16 vs 12,64
(-0,48)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elena-Gabriela … | Mirra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,00 | 1,13 | 16,7% |
| Gamdom | 7,00 | 1,13 | 14,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,47 | 1,15 | 13,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elena-Gabriela …: -2,5%
Mirra …: +2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#63
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/24 = 50,0%
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -72,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0886 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,4235 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -3859,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -46,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -20,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 72,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,6142 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,1833 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,9917 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,6375 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,7083 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3125 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6154 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7446 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 16,6053 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4072 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 60,5884 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0720 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1780 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5459 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,8710 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23887
API ID
15345438
Gamdom ID
589805
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23887,
"api_id": 15345438,
"gamdom_id": 589805,
"player1": "Elena-Gabriela Ruse",
"player2": "Mirra Andreeva",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-23T11:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.0,
"p2": 1.13
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.13
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 6.24,
"p2": 1.12
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1338,
"prob_p2": 0.8662,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8662,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 79,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 63,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 12.64,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.16,
"ranking": 63,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.64,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5458823529411765,
"utr_diff": -0.4800000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 0.08860759493670886,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -3859,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.637500000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 7,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
"utr_advantage": -3.8709677419354875,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -46,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.423537703411708,
"rank_advantage": -72,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -25.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.7083333333333428,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.6141666666666694,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7445652173913043,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.3125,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.1833333333333371,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 16.605269103756864,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.40720336709881,
"surface_rank_synergy": 60.588442585292704,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.99166666666666,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07199999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17800000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.999999999999993,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}